Salford City
vs
Swindon Town
1 – 0 Full time
| 43′ | James Ball | ||
| 50′ | Brendan Sarpeng-WireduJorge Grant | ||
| 61′ | Joseph HungboTom Nichols | ||
| 61′ | James BallJames Debayo | ||
| 69′ | Paul Glatzelantwoine hackford | ||
| 71′ | Ollie Clarke | ||
| 74′ | Daniel UdohBen Woodburn | ||
| 74′ | Oliver TurtonNathan Asiimwe | ||
| 77′ | Joe Powell | ||
| 80′ | Kaelan MajekodunmiDaniel Butterworth | ||
| 80′ | Ollie ClarkeBilly Kirkman | ||
| 84′ | Kelly N'MaiLuke Garbutt | ||
| 87′ | James Debayo |
Match stats
| 21 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 59 | Possession % | 41 |
| 12 | Corners | 5 |
| 5 | Fouls | 11 |
| 5 | Offsides | 3 |
| 1 | Saves | 5 |
| 365 | Accurate passes | 229 |
Salford City vs Swindon Town overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Salford City vs Swindon Town
| Probability | Salford City | Draw | Swindon Town |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.6% | 25.1% | 24.3% |
| Market | 61.9% | 21.5% | 16.6% |
| Final | 59.1% | 22.4% | 18.5% |
| Edge | -11.3% | +3.6% | +7.7% |
Why Salford City
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 1.21.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Salford City and Swindon Town expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.04
Salford City and Swindon Town attack and defence ratings
Salford City
Swindon Town
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Salford City vs Swindon Town: result vs prediction
Salford City 1 – 0 Swindon Town
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Salford City vs Swindon Town markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Salford City | 59.1% | 1.69 | -11.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Salford City | 59.1% |
| Draw | 22.4% | |
| Swindon Town | 18.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.0% |
| No | 40.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Salford City win | 29.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 49.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 2-0 | 8.0% |
Salford City vs Swindon Town stats
Salford City and Swindon Town recent form
| Salford City |
DWWLLL |
| Swindon Town |
LWWLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Salford City and Swindon Town going into this match
Salford City record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Swindon Town record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Salford City vs Swindon Town head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-20 | Salford City | Swindon Town | England FA Cup | 3-2 |
| 2026-01-17 | Swindon Town | Salford City | League Two | 2-3 |
| 2025-09-20 | Salford City | Swindon Town | League Two | 3-2 |
| 2025-03-04 | Swindon Town | Salford City | League Two | 2-2 |
| 2024-10-22 | Salford City | Swindon Town | League Two | 2-1 |
| 2024-02-10 | Swindon Town | Salford City | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2023-10-21 | Salford City | Swindon Town | League Two | 2-2 |
| 2023-02-18 | Salford City | Swindon Town | League Two | 1-2 |
| 2022-08-06 | Swindon Town | Salford City | League Two | 0-0 |
| 2022-02-26 | Swindon Town | Salford City | League Two | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Salford City vs Swindon Town odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 61.9%, draw 21.5%, away 16.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.49 | 4.30 | 5.67 |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 4.33 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 4.50 | 5.75 |
| Betano | 1.53 | 4.35 | 5.40 |
| Betfair | 1.47 | 4.50 | 6.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.48 | 4.30 | 5.60 |
| Pinnacle | 1.52 | 4.59 | 5.66 |
| SBO | 1.51 | 3.64 | 4.34 |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 4.20 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .