Crewe
vs
Shrewsbury
1 – 1 Full time
| 5′ | Joe White | ||
| 22′ | Isaac Lee | ||
| 22′ | G. Cowan | ||
| 24′ | Jordan Gibson | ||
| 29′ | Tom Sang | ||
| 37′ | will gray | ||
| 39′ | George Lloyd | ||
| 52′ | Isaac LeeArkelle Jude-Boyd | ||
| 54′ | Luke Offord | ||
| 59′ | Joe WhiteOwen lunt | ||
| 64′ | William Boyle | ||
| 66′ | Jack LankesterCharlie McNeill | ||
| 66′ | Jordan GibsonAdrien thibaut | ||
| 70′ | will grayMichael Golding | ||
| 81′ | Isaac FletcherJoseph Gbode | ||
| 86′ | Joel TabinerCalum·Agius |
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 21 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 62 | Possession % | 38 |
| 6 | Corners | 9 |
| 9 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Offsides | 2 |
| 5 | Saves | 3 |
| 301 | Accurate passes | 153 |
Crewe vs Shrewsbury overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Crewe vs Shrewsbury
| Probability | Crewe | Draw | Shrewsbury |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.1% | 29.9% | 18.0% |
| Market | 49.2% | 27.0% | 23.8% |
| Final | 49.9% | 27.7% | 22.4% |
| Edge | +2.9% | +2.9% | -5.8% |
Why Crewe
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.41 vs 0.72.
- The market prices Crewe below the model: +2.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Crewe and Shrewsbury expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.13
Crewe and Shrewsbury attack and defence ratings
Crewe
Shrewsbury
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Crewe vs Shrewsbury: result vs prediction
Crewe 1 – 1 Shrewsbury
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Crewe vs Shrewsbury markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Crewe | 49.9% | 2.00 | +2.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.3% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.7% | 2.09 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Crewe | 49.9% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| Shrewsbury | 22.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.0% |
| No | 60.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Crewe win | 26.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.6% | |
| Loss | 47.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.6% |
| 1-1 | 13.3% | |
| 0-0 | 13.1% |
Crewe vs Shrewsbury stats
Crewe and Shrewsbury recent form
| Crewe |
DDDDLW |
| Shrewsbury |
WLLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Crewe and Shrewsbury going into this match
Crewe record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Shrewsbury record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Crewe vs Shrewsbury head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Shrewsbury | Crewe | League Two | 0-4 |
| 2025-11-08 | Crewe | Shrewsbury | League Two | 3-1 |
| 2022-01-15 | Crewe | Shrewsbury | League One | 0-0 |
| 2021-09-11 | Shrewsbury | Crewe | League One | 1-1 |
| 2021-08-31 | Shrewsbury | Crewe | EFL Trophy | 0-1 |
| 2021-05-09 | Crewe | Shrewsbury | League One | 3-2 |
| 2021-02-02 | Shrewsbury | Crewe | League One | 0-1 |
| 2020-11-10 | Crewe | Shrewsbury | EFL Trophy | 3-4 |
| 2018-11-13 | Crewe | Shrewsbury | EFL Trophy | 1-2 |
| 2015-12-28 | Crewe | Shrewsbury | League One | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Crewe vs Shrewsbury odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.2%, draw 27.0%, away 23.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.89 | 3.44 | 3.86 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.50 | 4.10 |
| BetVictor | 1.90 | 3.50 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 1.90 | 3.45 | 4.00 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.87 | 3.44 | 3.84 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93 | 3.55 | 4.03 |
| SBO | 1.87 | 3.01 | 3.29 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.30 | 3.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .