Rotherham
vs
Crewe
1 – 1 Full time
| 13′ | Joshua Stephenson | ||
| 21′ | Dominic Iorfa | ||
| 41′ | Tom Bradshaw | ||
| 44′ | Paul Mullin | ||
| 57′ | Tom BradshawJoe Rafferty | ||
| 58′ | kian spenceJayce Fitzgerald | ||
| 58′ | Aaron NemaneMarvin Kaleta | ||
| 65′ | Kyle Ure | ||
| 67′ | Matúš HolíčekOwen lunt | ||
| 67′ | Jordan GibsonJack Lankester | ||
| 73′ | Adrien thibautCharlie McNeill | ||
| 73′ | Joe WhiteConor Thomas | ||
| 84′ | Joel Tabinerluca moore | ||
| 90′ | Ossama AshleyH. Douglas |
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 0 |
| 57 | Possession % | 43 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Offsides | 8 |
| 0 | Saves | 4 |
| 280 | Accurate passes | 175 |
Rotherham vs Crewe overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rotherham vs Crewe
| Probability | Rotherham | Draw | Crewe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.8% | 29.2% | 34.0% |
| Market | 45.6% | 26.0% | 28.4% |
| Final | 43.4% | 26.8% | 29.8% |
| Edge | -8.8% | +3.2% | +5.6% |
Why Rotherham
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Rotherham and Crewe expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.56
Rotherham and Crewe attack and defence ratings
Rotherham
Crewe
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Rotherham vs Crewe: result vs prediction
Rotherham 1 – 1 Crewe
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Rotherham vs Crewe markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rotherham | 43.4% | 2.30 | -8.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rotherham | 43.4% |
| Draw | 26.8% | |
| Crewe | 29.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.3% |
| No | 46.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Rotherham win | 17.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.8% | |
| Loss | 63.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.9% |
| 0-0 | 9.0% | |
| 1-0 | 8.9% |
Rotherham vs Crewe stats
Rotherham and Crewe recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Rotherham and Crewe going into this match
Rotherham record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Crewe record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
Rotherham vs Crewe head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-13 | Rotherham | Crewe | League Cup | 2-1 |
| 2022-07-23 | Crewe | Rotherham | Friendlies Clubs | 1-2 |
| 2022-01-29 | Crewe | Rotherham | League One | 0-2 |
| 2022-01-04 | Crewe | Rotherham | EFL Trophy | 2-4 |
| 2021-09-25 | Rotherham | Crewe | League One | 1-1 |
| 2017-11-04 | Crewe | Rotherham | FA Cup | 2-1 |
| 2014-01-11 | Rotherham | Crewe | League One | 4-2 |
| 2013-08-03 | Crewe | Rotherham | League One | 3-3 |
| 2012-03-06 | Rotherham | Crewe | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2011-08-16 | Crewe | Rotherham | League Two | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Rotherham vs Crewe odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.4%, draw 26.0%, away 28.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.03 | 3.58 | 3.26 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.30 |
| Betano | 2.05 | 3.55 | 3.35 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.70 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.01 | 3.58 | 3.24 |
| Pinnacle | 2.07 | 3.72 | 3.36 |
| SBO | 2.02 | 3.15 | 2.80 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .