Tranmere
vs
Walsall
1 – 1 Full time
| 18′ | Sven Sprangler | ||
| 35′ | James Connolly | ||
| 58′ | Sven SpranglerTaione Richard Evumena Sodje | ||
| 61′ | Joe IronsideDylan Jones | ||
| 71′ | Zane OkoroJordan·Davies | ||
| 73′ | B. Faulkner | ||
| 76′ | Elicha AhuiRyan Leak | ||
| 77′ | Andrew DallasAlbert Adomah | ||
| 82′ | Isaac Moore | ||
| 87′ | Lewis SimperWill Etheridge | ||
| 89′ | Charlie Jay WhitakerLee O'Connor | ||
| 89′ | Tom ConlonSam Finley | ||
| 90′ | Reece Smith |
Match stats
| 21 | Shots | 7 |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 45 | Possession % | 55 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 1 | Saves | 10 |
| 286 | Accurate passes | 366 |
Tranmere vs Walsall overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tranmere vs Walsall
| Probability | Tranmere | Draw | Walsall |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.1% | 33.4% | 34.6% |
| Market | 38.7% | 28.8% | 32.5% |
| Final | 37.0% | 29.9% | 33.0% |
| Edge | -6.6% | +4.6% | +2.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Tranmere and Walsall expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.02
Tranmere and Walsall attack and defence ratings
Tranmere
Walsall
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Tranmere vs Walsall: result vs prediction
Tranmere 1 – 1 Walsall
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Tranmere vs Walsall markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tranmere | 37.0% | 2.70 | -6.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tranmere | 37.0% |
| Draw | 29.9% | |
| Walsall | 33.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 67.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.8% |
| No | 58.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tranmere win | 12.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 67.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.9% |
| 0-0 | 14.6% | |
| 0-1 | 12.4% |
Tranmere vs Walsall stats
Tranmere and Walsall recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tranmere and Walsall going into this match
Tranmere record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 53% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Walsall record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Tranmere vs Walsall head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | Tranmere | Walsall | League Two | 1-3 |
| 2025-09-20 | Walsall | Tranmere | League Two | 4-2 |
| 2025-01-11 | Walsall | Tranmere | League Two | 5-1 |
| 2024-08-24 | Tranmere | Walsall | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2024-04-06 | Tranmere | Walsall | League Two | 1-3 |
| 2023-12-16 | Walsall | Tranmere | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2023-01-14 | Tranmere | Walsall | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2022-09-24 | Walsall | Tranmere | League Two | 0-1 |
| 2022-02-12 | Walsall | Tranmere | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2021-08-07 | Tranmere | Walsall | League Two | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Tranmere vs Walsall odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.4%, draw 29.3%, away 32.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.42 | 3.10 | 2.91 |
| Bet365 | 2.35 | 3.60 | 2.70 |
| BetVictor | 2.38 | 3.40 | 2.88 |
| Betano | 2.42 | 3.25 | 2.85 |
| Betfair | 2.45 | 3.30 | 2.88 |
| Marathonbet | 2.40 | 3.10 | 2.88 |
| Pinnacle | 2.48 | 3.18 | 3.02 |
| SBO | 2.30 | 3.01 | 2.49 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.10 | 2.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .