Cheltenham
vs
Chesterfield
2 – 1 Full time
| 12′ | Pierce Sweeney | ||
| 17′ | Charlie McCann | ||
| 37′ | Andreas Weimann | ||
| 49′ | Louie Marsh | ||
| 55′ | Jordan Shipley | ||
| 59′ | Jake EvansJames Wilson | ||
| 70′ | Lee BonisF. Bryden | ||
| 78′ | Pierce SweeneyGeorge Miller | ||
| 78′ | Joel RandallLiam Mandeville | ||
| 78′ | Lewis GordonTom Pearce | ||
| 78′ | George McEachranKiano Dyer | ||
| 84′ | Andreas Weimann | ||
| 86′ | Andreas WeimannJake Bickerstaff | ||
| 87′ | Ryan BroomK. Otchere | ||
| 87′ | Jordan ShipleyFreddie willcox | ||
| 87′ | Louie MarshTom Naylor | ||
| 89′ | Freddie willcox |
Match stats
| 7 | Shots | 27 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 11 |
| 34 | Possession % | 66 |
| 2 | Corners | 11 |
| 9 | Fouls | 6 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 10 | Saves | 1 |
| 212 | Accurate passes | 508 |
Cheltenham vs Chesterfield overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cheltenham vs Chesterfield
| Probability | Cheltenham | Draw | Chesterfield |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.0% | 26.3% | 38.7% |
| Market | 30.7% | 25.8% | 43.5% |
| Final | 31.7% | 26.0% | 42.3% |
| Edge | +4.3% | +0.5% | -4.8% |
Why Chesterfield
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cheltenham and Chesterfield expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.03
Cheltenham and Chesterfield attack and defence ratings
Cheltenham
Chesterfield
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cheltenham vs Chesterfield: result vs prediction
Cheltenham 2 – 1 Chesterfield
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cheltenham vs Chesterfield markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chesterfield | 42.3% | 2.36 | -4.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cheltenham | 31.7% |
| Draw | 26.0% | |
| Chesterfield | 42.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.0% |
| No | 38.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Chesterfield win | 19.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.0% | |
| Loss | 61.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.2% |
| 1-2 | 8.6% | |
| 2-1 | 8.2% |
Cheltenham vs Chesterfield stats
Cheltenham and Chesterfield recent form
| Cheltenham |
DWDWDL |
| Chesterfield |
WWDDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cheltenham and Chesterfield going into this match
Cheltenham record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Chesterfield record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Cheltenham vs Chesterfield head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | Chesterfield | Cheltenham | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Cheltenham | Chesterfield | League Two | 0-2 |
| 2025-02-01 | Cheltenham | Chesterfield | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2024-09-21 | Chesterfield | Cheltenham | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2018-03-17 | Cheltenham | Chesterfield | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2017-09-30 | Chesterfield | Cheltenham | League Two | 0-2 |
| 2014-02-25 | Cheltenham | Chesterfield | League Two | 1-4 |
| 2013-08-10 | Chesterfield | Cheltenham | League Two | 2-0 |
| 2013-03-05 | Cheltenham | Chesterfield | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2012-11-20 | Chesterfield | Cheltenham | League Two | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cheltenham vs Chesterfield odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.7%, draw 25.8%, away 43.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.04 | 3.62 | 2.11 |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.15 |
| Betano | 3.05 | 3.70 | 2.10 |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 3.75 | 2.15 |
| Marathonbet | 3.02 | 3.62 | 2.09 |
| Pinnacle | 3.14 | 3.78 | 2.15 |
| SBO | 2.77 | 3.18 | 2.02 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.15 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .