Accrington ST
vs
Cheltenham
2 – 0 Full time
| 42′ | Charlie McCann | ||
| 48′ | Tyler Walton | ||
| 55′ | Joseph TomlinsonGeorge Nurse | ||
| 62′ | Tyler WaltonCharlie Warren | ||
| 74′ | Josh Woods | ||
| 78′ | Charlie Warren | ||
| 80′ | David Tutonda | ||
| 84′ | Jordan ShipleyGeorge Miller | ||
| 84′ | Ryan BroomJake Bickerstaff | ||
| 87′ | Charlie Warren | ||
| 90′ | Charlie McCann | ||
| 90′ | Andreas Weimann | ||
| 90′ | Andreas WeimannK. Otchere |
Match stats
| 22 | Shots | 6 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 44 | Possession % | 56 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 4 |
| 233 | Accurate passes | 348 |
Accrington ST vs Cheltenham overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Accrington ST vs Cheltenham
| Probability | Accrington ST | Draw | Cheltenham |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.5% | 23.0% | 43.5% |
| Market | 40.4% | 27.2% | 32.5% |
| Final | 38.7% | 26.1% | 35.2% |
| Edge | -6.9% | -4.1% | +11.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Accrington ST and Cheltenham expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.72
Accrington ST and Cheltenham attack and defence ratings
Accrington ST
Cheltenham
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Accrington ST vs Cheltenham: result vs prediction
Accrington ST 2 – 0 Cheltenham
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Accrington ST vs Cheltenham markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Accrington ST | 38.7% | 2.59 | -6.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Accrington ST | 38.7% |
| Draw | 26.1% | |
| Cheltenham | 35.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.9% |
| No | 28.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Accrington ST win | 17.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.2% | |
| Loss | 66.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.2% |
| 1-2 | 8.3% | |
| 2-1 | 7.2% |
Accrington ST vs Cheltenham stats
Accrington ST and Cheltenham recent form
| Accrington ST |
DDLWDL |
| Cheltenham |
WDWDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Accrington ST and Cheltenham going into this match
Accrington ST record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cheltenham record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Accrington ST vs Cheltenham head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Accrington ST | Cheltenham | League Two | 3-1 |
| 2025-09-06 | Cheltenham | Accrington ST | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2025-01-28 | Accrington ST | Cheltenham | League Two | 0-0 |
| 2024-10-01 | Cheltenham | Accrington ST | League Two | 2-1 |
| 2023-02-11 | Cheltenham | Accrington ST | League One | 0-0 |
| 2022-09-17 | Accrington ST | Cheltenham | League One | 1-0 |
| 2022-04-02 | Accrington ST | Cheltenham | League One | 4-4 |
| 2021-10-16 | Cheltenham | Accrington ST | League One | 1-0 |
| 2018-12-01 | Accrington ST | Cheltenham | FA Cup | 3-1 |
| 2018-01-13 | Cheltenham | Accrington ST | League Two | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Accrington ST vs Cheltenham odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.4%, draw 27.2%, away 32.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.26 | 3.87 | 2.87 |
| Bet365 | 2.38 | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.90 |
| Betano | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.95 |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 3.50 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.25 | 3.42 | 2.86 |
| Pinnacle | 2.37 | 3.62 | 2.86 |
| SBO | 2.22 | 3.10 | 2.66 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .