League Two
·
Full time
·Matchday 10
Cheltenham
vs
Salford City
0 – 2 Full time
| 6′ | Freddie willcox | ||
| 20′ | Jake Evans | ||
| 45′ | Ryan GraydonKallum Cesay | ||
| 49′ | Abraham Odoh | ||
| 56′ | Luke Molyneux | ||
| 57′ | Jonathan Tomkinson | ||
| 64′ | Jordan Shipley | ||
| 71′ | Will Aimson | ||
| 76′ | Abraham OdohLuke Garbutt | ||
| 78′ | Ben Stevenson | ||
| 84′ | Jorge Grant | ||
| 85′ | Ryan BroomGeorge Miller | ||
| 85′ | Andreas Weimann | ||
| 87′ | Jake EvansGeorge Nurse | ||
| 87′ | Luke MolyneuxNathan Asiimwe | ||
| 90′ | Jordan ShipleyK. Otchere | ||
| 90′ | Jorge Grant | ||
| 90′ | Macaulay LangstaffDaniel Udoh | ||
| 90′ | Brendan Sarpeng-WireduMatt·Butcher | ||
| 90′ | Luke Garbutt |
Cheltenham
26%
Draw
25%
Salford City
49%
Match stats
| 4 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 49 | Possession % | 51 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Offsides | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 0 |
| 305 | Accurate passes | 310 |
Cheltenham vs Salford City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cheltenham vs Salford City
| Probability | Cheltenham | Draw | Salford City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.0% | 25.8% | 44.3% |
| Market | 24.2% | 24.9% | 50.9% |
| Final | 25.6% | 25.1% | 49.3% |
| Edge | +1.4% | +0.2% | -1.7% |
Why Salford City
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.71 vs 1.37.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
82%
3+ goals
59%
No goals
6%
Cheltenham and Salford City expected goals
Cheltenham
1.37
Salford City
1.71
Total expected goals: 3.08
Cheltenham and Salford City attack and defence ratings
Cheltenham
Attack
1.14 +14%
Defence
1.30 +30%
Salford City
Attack
1.13 +13%
Defence
0.86 -14%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cheltenham vs Salford City: result vs prediction
Cheltenham 0 – 2 Salford City
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cheltenham vs Salford City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Salford City | 49.3% | 2.03 | -1.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.9% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cheltenham | 25.6% |
| Draw | 25.1% | |
| Salford City | 49.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.1% |
| No | 37.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 50.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Salford City win | 24.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 55.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.9% |
| 1-2 | 9.2% | |
| 2-1 | 7.4% |
Cheltenham vs Salford City stats
Cheltenham and Salford City recent form
| Cheltenham |
LWDWDW |
| Salford City |
WWWDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cheltenham and Salford City going into this match
Cheltenham record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Salford City record
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
Cheltenham vs Salford City head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
5Cheltenham wins
2Draws
2Salford City wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Cheltenham | Salford City | League Two | 3-2 |
| 2025-08-29 | Salford City | Cheltenham | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2025-01-25 | Cheltenham | Salford City | League Two | 2-1 |
| 2024-11-30 | Salford City | Cheltenham | England FA Cup | 2-0 |
| 2024-09-14 | Salford City | Cheltenham | League Two | 2-1 |
| 2023-01-10 | Cheltenham | Salford City | EFL Trophy | 3-1 |
| 2021-03-20 | Cheltenham | Salford City | League Two | 2-0 |
| 2020-12-12 | Salford City | Cheltenham | League Two | 0-0 |
| 2019-09-14 | Salford City | Cheltenham | League Two | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cheltenham vs Salford City odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 24.2%, draw 24.9%, away 50.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.75 | 3.75 | 1.83 |
| Bet365 | 4.20 | 3.50 | 1.80 |
| BetVictor | 4.00 | 3.75 | 1.83 |
| Betano | 3.90 | 3.80 | 1.82 |
| Betfair | 3.80 | 3.80 | 1.87 |
| Dafabet | 3.90 | 3.75 | 1.90 |
| Marathonbet | 3.74 | 3.75 | 1.81 |
| Pinnacle | 3.91 | 4.00 | 1.83 |
| SBO | 3.37 | 3.20 | 1.85 |
| William Hill | 3.75 | 3.50 | 1.85 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
3.85 ▲ +0.27
X
3.75 ▲ +0.05
2
1.83 ▼ -0.05
13 snapshots recorded, from .