Crawley Town
vs
Chesterfield
2 – 2 Full time
| 23′ | Lee Bonis | ||
| 40′ | Akinwale Joseph OdimayoNathan Tinsdale | ||
| 44′ | Kai Jennings | ||
| 56′ | Louie Marsh | ||
| 59′ | Danilo OrsiGianmarco biase di | ||
| 60′ | Stephen·Duke-MckennaOsman kamara | ||
| 61′ | Gianmarco biase di | ||
| 64′ | Joel RandallJosh Koroma | ||
| 65′ | Josh Koroma | ||
| 66′ | Gianmarco biase di | ||
| 76′ | Lewis RichardsKellan Gordon | ||
| 76′ | Charlie BarkerJonathan Russell | ||
| 80′ | Louie Marsh | ||
| 83′ | Gianmarco biase di | ||
| 86′ | Louie MarshLiam Mandeville | ||
| 87′ | Lee BonisKiano Dyer | ||
| 87′ | George McEachranWill Grigg | ||
| 90′ | Dilan Markanday | ||
| 90′ | Jonathan Russell | ||
| 90′ | Lewis Gordon |
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 21 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 40 | Possession % | 60 |
| 1 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 13 |
| 5 | Offsides | 1 |
| 3 | Saves | 3 |
| 212 | Accurate passes | 365 |
Crawley Town vs Chesterfield overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Crawley Town vs Chesterfield
| Probability | Crawley Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.3% | 26.4% | 51.4% |
| Market | 19.4% | 22.5% | 58.1% |
| Final | 20.1% | 23.4% | 56.4% |
| Edge | +0.7% | +1.0% | -1.7% |
Why Chesterfield
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 1.05.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Crawley Town and Chesterfield expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.75
Crawley Town and Chesterfield attack and defence ratings
Crawley Town
Chesterfield
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Crawley Town vs Chesterfield: result vs prediction
Crawley Town 2 – 2 Chesterfield
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Crawley Town vs Chesterfield markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chesterfield | 56.4% | 1.77 | -1.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.2% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Crawley Town | 20.1% |
| Draw | 23.4% | |
| Chesterfield | 56.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.2% |
| No | 45.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 43.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 79.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Chesterfield win | 28.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 48.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.6% |
| 0-1 | 9.7% | |
| 1-2 | 9.7% |
Crawley Town vs Chesterfield stats
Crawley Town and Chesterfield recent form
| Crawley Town |
LLLDLW |
| Chesterfield |
WLWWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Crawley Town and Chesterfield going into this match
Crawley Town record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Chesterfield record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
Crawley Town vs Chesterfield head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Crawley Town | Chesterfield | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-30 | Chesterfield | Crawley Town | League Two | 2-2 |
| 2018-02-03 | Chesterfield | Crawley Town | League Two | 1-2 |
| 2017-10-17 | Crawley Town | Chesterfield | League Two | 0-2 |
| 2015-01-27 | Chesterfield | Crawley Town | League One | 3-0 |
| 2014-11-29 | Crawley Town | Chesterfield | League One | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Crawley Town vs Chesterfield odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 19.4%, draw 22.5%, away 58.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.53 | 4.15 | 1.62 |
| Bet365 | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.60 |
| BetVictor | 5.00 | 4.20 | 1.60 |
| Betano | 4.80 | 4.05 | 1.62 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 4.40 | 1.57 |
| Dafabet | 4.80 | 4.30 | 1.65 |
| Marathonbet | 4.55 | 4.15 | 1.60 |
| Pinnacle | 4.82 | 4.45 | 1.61 |
| SBO | 4.17 | 3.74 | 1.57 |
| William Hill | 4.40 | 4.00 | 1.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .