Bristol Rovers
vs
Barnet
Garuda Lions Prediction: Bristol Rovers
2 – 1 Predicted score · 7% model probability
Bristol Rovers vs Barnet overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bristol Rovers vs Barnet
| Probability | Bristol Rovers | Draw | Barnet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.2% | 22.0% | 47.8% |
| Market | 41.6% | 26.8% | 31.6% |
| Final | 38.8% | 25.6% | 35.6% |
| Edge | -11.4% | -4.8% | +16.2% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.32, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Bristol Rovers vs Barnet match preview
Bristol Rovers face Barnet in a League Two clash where the model gives Bristol Rovers a 40% chance of victory, while Barnet holds a 36% probability of winning. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Bristol Rovers, with a 7% chance of occurring. The match is expected to see over 2.5 goals at 75%, and both teams are likely to score, with a probability of 74%.
Recent form shows Bristol Rovers with two wins and three losses in their last five matches, while Barnet has been more consistent, recording three wins and two draws. In their last two encounters, Barnet has won both, indicating a favorable trend for them. Expected goals suggest a competitive match, with Bristol Rovers at 1.73 and Barnet at 2.18.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bristol Rovers and Barnet expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.91
Bristol Rovers and Barnet attack and defence ratings
Bristol Rovers
Barnet
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bristol Rovers vs Barnet markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bristol Rovers | 38.8% | 2.58 | -11.4% | 2.32 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bristol Rovers | 38.8% |
| Draw | 25.6% | |
| Barnet | 35.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 25.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.7% |
| No | 26.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bristol Rovers win | 15.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14.9% | |
| Loss | 69.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.3% |
| 1-2 | 8.2% | |
| 2-2 | 7.1% |
Bristol Rovers vs Barnet stats
Bristol Rovers and Barnet recent form
| Bristol Rovers |
LWLLWW |
| Barnet |
WWDDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bristol Rovers and Barnet season so far
Bristol Rovers record
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Barnet record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bristol Rovers vs Barnet head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | Bristol Rovers | Barnet | League Two | 0-2 |
| 2025-12-09 | Barnet | Bristol Rovers | League Two | 4-0 |
| 2018-11-21 | Bristol Rovers | Barnet | FA Cup | 1-2 |
| 2018-11-11 | Barnet | Bristol Rovers | FA Cup | 1-1 |
| 2016-01-09 | Barnet | Bristol Rovers | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2015-08-22 | Bristol Rovers | Barnet | League Two | 3-1 |
| 2014-11-25 | Bristol Rovers | Barnet | National League | 2-1 |
| 2014-08-12 | Barnet | Bristol Rovers | National League | 2-0 |
| 2013-02-01 | Bristol Rovers | Barnet | League Two | 2-1 |
| 2012-08-21 | Barnet | Bristol Rovers | League Two | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bristol Rovers vs Barnet odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.6%, draw 26.8%, away 31.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.26 | 3.42 | 2.90 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.25 | 3.45 | 3.00 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.70 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.24 | 3.65 | 3.05 |
| Marathonbet | 2.24 | 3.42 | 2.88 |
| Pinnacle | 2.32 | 3.51 | 2.88 |
| SBO | 2.04 | 3.13 | 2.78 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .