Shrewsbury
vs
Exeter City
0 – 1 Full time
| 11′ | Tom Sang | ||
| 43′ | Jake Doyle Hayes | ||
| 65′ | Luca Hoole | ||
| 67′ | Luca HooleArkelle Jude-Boyd | ||
| 69′ | Anthony ScullyEthan Sutherland | ||
| 73′ | Isaac FletcherJosh Davison | ||
| 74′ | Tom Sangwill gray | ||
| 76′ | will gray | ||
| 77′ | Taylor Perry | ||
| 78′ | Taylor PerrySonny Cox | ||
| 86′ | Sonny Cox | ||
| 89′ | Kevin BerkoeJoseph Gbode | ||
| 90′ | J. Turner-Cook | ||
| 90′ | George BirchVincent Harper | ||
| 90′ | Josh GordonEdward James |
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 44 | Possession % | 56 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 0 | Saves | 3 |
| 171 | Accurate passes | 298 |
Shrewsbury vs Exeter City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Shrewsbury vs Exeter City
| Probability | Shrewsbury | Draw | Exeter City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.6% | 35.7% | 31.7% |
| Market | 44.3% | 28.9% | 26.8% |
| Final | 41.4% | 30.6% | 28.0% |
| Edge | -2.9% | +1.7% | +1.2% |
Why Shrewsbury
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Shrewsbury and Exeter City expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.79
Shrewsbury and Exeter City attack and defence ratings
Shrewsbury
Exeter City
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Shrewsbury vs Exeter City: result vs prediction
Shrewsbury 0 – 1 Exeter City
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Shrewsbury vs Exeter City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shrewsbury | 41.4% | 2.42 | -2.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shrewsbury | 41.4% |
| Draw | 30.6% | |
| Exeter City | 28.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 26.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 73.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36.2% |
| No | 63.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Shrewsbury win | 11.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 67.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 18.1% |
| 1-1 | 14.7% | |
| 1-0 | 13.8% |
Shrewsbury vs Exeter City stats
Shrewsbury and Exeter City recent form
| Shrewsbury |
WDDWLL |
| Exeter City |
WLDLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Shrewsbury and Exeter City going into this match
Shrewsbury record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Exeter City record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They average 0.8 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
Shrewsbury vs Exeter City head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-08 | Exeter City | Shrewsbury | League One | 2-0 |
| 2024-10-17 | Shrewsbury | Exeter City | League One | 0-2 |
| 2024-03-12 | Shrewsbury | Exeter City | League One | 0-3 |
| 2023-11-28 | Exeter City | Shrewsbury | League One | 0-0 |
| 2023-02-14 | Exeter City | Shrewsbury | League One | 0-0 |
| 2022-09-13 | Shrewsbury | Exeter City | League One | 3-2 |
| 2021-07-31 | Exeter City | Shrewsbury | Friendlies Clubs | 0-2 |
| 2015-04-11 | Shrewsbury | Exeter City | League Two | 4-0 |
| 2014-11-22 | Exeter City | Shrewsbury | League Two | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Shrewsbury vs Exeter City odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.3%, draw 28.9%, away 26.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.08 | 3.22 | 3.46 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.60 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 2.18 | 3.05 | 3.50 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| Dafabet | 2.17 | 3.30 | 3.50 |
| Marathonbet | 2.06 | 3.22 | 3.44 |
| Pinnacle | 2.10 | 3.31 | 3.69 |
| SBO | 2.02 | 3.01 | 3.11 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.10 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .