Exeter City
vs
Rotherham
1 – 0 Full time
| 43′ | L. Woodhouse | ||
| 51′ | Anthony Scully | ||
| 58′ | Dominic Iorfa | ||
| 58′ | Jayce FitzgeraldTom Bradshaw | ||
| 65′ | Anthony ScullyGwion Edwards | ||
| 69′ | Marvin KaletaAaron Nemane | ||
| 69′ | Kieran Ngwenyakian spence | ||
| 79′ | George BirchEthan Sutherland | ||
| 80′ | Taylor PerryLiam Oakes | ||
| 85′ | Josh GordonSonny Cox | ||
| 90′ | Charlie Cummins |
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 7 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 0 |
| 47 | Possession % | 53 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Offsides | 0 |
| 0 | Saves | 5 |
| 242 | Accurate passes | 267 |
Exeter City vs Rotherham overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Exeter City vs Rotherham
| Probability | Exeter City | Draw | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.2% | 33.2% | 30.7% |
| Market | 36.4% | 28.4% | 35.2% |
| Final | 36.3% | 29.6% | 34.0% |
| Edge | -0.2% | +4.7% | -4.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Exeter City and Rotherham expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.03
Exeter City and Rotherham attack and defence ratings
Exeter City
Rotherham
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Exeter City vs Rotherham: result vs prediction
Exeter City 1 – 0 Rotherham
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Exeter City vs Rotherham markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Exeter City | 36.3% | 2.75 | -0.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Exeter City | 36.3% |
| Draw | 29.6% | |
| Rotherham | 34.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 66.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.1% |
| No | 57.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Exeter City win | 15.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 63.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 14.4% | |
| 1-0 | 12.6% |
Exeter City vs Rotherham stats
Exeter City and Rotherham recent form
| Exeter City |
LDLDDL |
| Rotherham |
DWDLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Exeter City and Rotherham going into this match
Exeter City record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They average 0.8 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
Rotherham record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Exeter City vs Rotherham head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Exeter City | Rotherham | League One | 0-4 |
| 2025-09-06 | Rotherham | Exeter City | League One | 1-0 |
| 2025-03-15 | Rotherham | Exeter City | League One | 1-1 |
| 2024-08-10 | Exeter City | Rotherham | League One | 1-0 |
| 2013-04-09 | Rotherham | Exeter City | League Two | 4-1 |
| 2012-11-24 | Exeter City | Rotherham | League Two | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Exeter City vs Rotherham odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 36.4%, draw 28.4%, away 35.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.52 | 3.65 | 2.62 |
| Bet365 | 2.60 | 3.25 | 2.62 |
| BetVictor | 2.60 | 3.30 | 2.63 |
| Betano | 2.60 | 3.25 | 2.65 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.70 |
| Marathonbet | 2.54 | 3.24 | 2.64 |
| Pinnacle | 2.64 | 3.30 | 2.74 |
| SBO | 2.43 | 3.00 | 2.46 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .