League Two · Full time ·Matchday 9

Gillingham vs Newport County

0 – 0 Full time

14′Ronan Chapman Hale
15′Lamin Sillah
45′Harrison Biggins
63′Lamin SillahTom Eaves
70′Cameron Norman
72′Logan Dobbs
74′Logan DobbsJack Daley
74′Garath McClearyS. Kendall
76′Michael Adu-PokuYahya Bamba
79′Jack Daley
83′Christian DoidgeGerard Garner
86′Harry WaldockArmani Little
86′Ronan Chapman HaleBradley Dack
90′Harrison BigginsAaron Lewis

Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham

Gillingham 44%
Draw 27%
Newport County 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

7 Shots 15
1 Shots on target 5
67 Possession % 33
3 Corners 2
17 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 2
4 Saves 1
412 Accurate passes 154

Gillingham vs Newport County overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Gillingham vs Newport County

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGillinghamDrawNewport County
Model40.6%27.1%32.3%
Market45.7%26.7%27.6%
Final44.4%26.8%28.8%
Edge-5.0%+0.4%+4.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Gillingham

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Gillingham ↓ / Newport County → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 6% 1 8% 13% 8% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 55%
No goals 7%

Gillingham and Newport County expected goals

Gillingham 1.53
Newport County 1.34

Total expected goals: 2.87

Gillingham and Newport County attack and defence ratings

Gillingham

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Newport County

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Gillingham vs Newport County: result vs prediction

Gillingham 0 – 0 Newport County

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

League Two

Before and after this match

Gillingham vs Newport County markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Gillingham 44.4% 2.25 -5.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54.7% 1.83 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.0% 1.69 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.2% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.3% 1.69 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Gillingham44.4%
Draw26.8%
Newport County28.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554.7%
Under 2.545.3%
Both teams to scoreYes59.0%
No41.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.2%
12 (either side)73.2%
X2 (draw or away)55.6%
Handicap -1Gillingham win20.7%
Push (exactly one goal)20.0%
Loss59.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.8%
2-18.9%
1-27.8%

Gillingham vs Newport County stats

Gillingham and Newport County recent form

newest first
Gillingham LWWWDD
Newport County WDDLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Gillingham and Newport County going into this match

league record before kick-off

Gillingham record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Newport County record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • 71% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Gillingham vs Newport County head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Gillingham wins 2Draws 6Newport County wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-17GillinghamNewport CountyLeague Two3-2
2025-11-01Newport CountyGillinghamEngland FA Cup1-1
2025-09-20Newport CountyGillinghamLeague Two1-3
2025-03-04Newport CountyGillinghamLeague Two3-1
2024-10-22GillinghamNewport CountyLeague Two0-2
2024-02-17Newport CountyGillinghamLeague Two1-0
2023-10-28GillinghamNewport CountyLeague Two0-2
2023-04-29GillinghamNewport CountyLeague Two1-2
2022-11-19Newport CountyGillinghamLeague Two2-0
2019-08-13GillinghamNewport CountyLeague Cup2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Gillingham vs Newport County odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.7%, draw 26.7%, away 27.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.09 3.70 3.34
Bet365 2.05 3.50 3.40
BetVictor 2.10 3.40 3.40
Betano 2.02 3.45 3.45
Betfair 2.05 3.50 3.50
Marathonbet 2.02 3.56 3.32
Pinnacle 2.09 3.63 3.39
SBO 2.00 3.04 3.12
William Hill 2.00 3.40 3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.05 ▼ -0.15
X 3.50 ▲ +0.06
2 3.39 ▲ +0.43

13 snapshots recorded, from .