Salford City
vs
Fleetwood Town
1 – 0 Full time
| 4′ | Brendan Sarpeng-Wiredu | ||
| 12′ | Ben WoodburnRyan Graydon | ||
| 61′ | Aaron Loupalo-BiRonan Coughlan | ||
| 65′ | Macaulay Langstaff | ||
| 66′ | Adam MurphyJosh Robertson | ||
| 74′ | Jake Thomas BattyR. Cirino | ||
| 75′ | Ched EvansWill davies | ||
| 77′ | Abraham OdohMatt·Butcher | ||
| 78′ | Kelly N'Maiadebola oluwo | ||
| 84′ | Ronan Coughlan | ||
| 87′ | Jorge GrantDaniel Udoh | ||
| 87′ | Luke MolyneuxOliver Turton |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 12 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 6 |
| 4 | Offsides | 2 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 241 | Accurate passes | 194 |
Salford City vs Fleetwood Town overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Salford City vs Fleetwood Town
| Probability | Salford City | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.4% | 28.7% | 28.9% |
| Market | 57.4% | 23.2% | 19.4% |
| Final | 53.6% | 24.6% | 21.7% |
| Edge | -15.0% | +5.5% | +9.5% |
Why Salford City
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Salford City and Fleetwood Town expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.57
Salford City and Fleetwood Town attack and defence ratings
Salford City
Fleetwood Town
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Salford City vs Fleetwood Town: result vs prediction
Salford City 1 – 0 Fleetwood Town
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Salford City vs Fleetwood Town markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Salford City | 53.6% | 1.86 | -15.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Salford City | 53.6% |
| Draw | 24.6% | |
| Fleetwood Town | 21.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.1% |
| No | 46.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Salford City win | 21.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 57.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 1-0 | 9.7% | |
| 2-1 | 8.9% |
Salford City vs Fleetwood Town stats
Salford City and Fleetwood Town recent form
| Salford City |
WWDWWL |
| Fleetwood Town |
LLWDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Salford City and Fleetwood Town going into this match
Salford City record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
Fleetwood Town record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
Salford City vs Fleetwood Town head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | Salford City | Fleetwood Town | League Two | 0-0 |
| 2025-12-09 | Fleetwood Town | Salford City | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2025-01-18 | Salford City | Fleetwood Town | League Two | 0-2 |
| 2024-10-29 | Fleetwood Town | Salford City | League Two | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Salford City vs Fleetwood Town odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 57.4%, draw 23.2%, away 19.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.65 | 4.38 | 4.64 |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.62 | 4.10 | 4.80 |
| Betano | 1.65 | 3.90 | 4.80 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.61 | 4.00 | 4.65 |
| Pinnacle | 1.63 | 4.31 | 4.85 |
| SBO | 1.57 | 3.63 | 4.30 |
| William Hill | 1.65 | 3.90 | 4.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .