Fleetwood Town
vs
Walsall
Garuda Lions Prediction: Fleetwood Town
1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
Fleetwood Town vs Walsall overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fleetwood Town vs Walsall
| Probability | Fleetwood Town | Draw | Walsall |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.5% | 34.4% | 31.0% |
| Market | 40.0% | 27.7% | 32.4% |
| Final | 38.6% | 29.4% | 32.0% |
| Edge | -5.5% | +6.8% | -1.3% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.39, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Fleetwood Town vs Walsall match preview
Fleetwood Town will face Walsall in a League Two clash on October 10, 2026. The model probabilities suggest a close contest, with Fleetwood Town at 35%, a draw at 34%, and Walsall at 31%. The expected goals are slightly in favor of Fleetwood Town at 0.99 compared to Walsall's 0.92. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a probability of 13%.
In terms of recent form, Fleetwood Town has struggled with three losses in their last five matches, alongside a win and a draw. In contrast, Walsall has shown more consistency, with four draws and a win in their last five games. The head-to-head record indicates Fleetwood Town's slight edge, having won once and drawn once in their last two encounters against Walsall.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Fleetwood Town and Walsall expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.91
Fleetwood Town and Walsall attack and defence ratings
Fleetwood Town
Walsall
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Fleetwood Town vs Walsall markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fleetwood Town | 38.6% | 2.59 | -5.5% | 2.39 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fleetwood Town | 38.6% |
| Draw | 29.4% | |
| Walsall | 32.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 29.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 70.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.0% |
| No | 61.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Fleetwood Town win | 13.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 65.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 16.2% |
| 1-1 | 14.8% | |
| 1-0 | 13.3% |
Fleetwood Town vs Walsall stats
Fleetwood Town and Walsall recent form
| Fleetwood Town |
LLLWDW |
| Walsall |
DWDDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Fleetwood Town and Walsall season so far
Fleetwood Town record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
Walsall record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Fleetwood Town vs Walsall head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-03 | Walsall | Fleetwood Town | League Two | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-13 | Fleetwood Town | Walsall | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2025-01-28 | Fleetwood Town | Walsall | League Two | 2-0 |
| 2024-10-01 | Walsall | Fleetwood Town | League Two | 2-6 |
| 2019-03-09 | Walsall | Fleetwood Town | League One | 2-0 |
| 2018-11-17 | Fleetwood Town | Walsall | League One | 0-0 |
| 2018-05-05 | Fleetwood Town | Walsall | League One | 2-0 |
| 2017-11-21 | Walsall | Fleetwood Town | League One | 4-2 |
| 2017-03-14 | Walsall | Fleetwood Town | League One | 0-1 |
| 2016-12-10 | Fleetwood Town | Walsall | League One | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Fleetwood Town vs Walsall odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.0%, draw 27.7%, away 32.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.33 | 3.34 | 2.85 |
| Bet365 | 2.35 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.90 |
| Betano | 2.35 | 3.35 | 2.87 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.88 |
| Dafabet | 2.32 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.31 | 3.34 | 2.83 |
| Pinnacle | 2.39 | 3.45 | 2.84 |
| SBO | 2.06 | 3.04 | 2.81 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .