League Two · Full time ·Matchday 10

Fleetwood Town vs Walsall

1 – 1 Full time

48′Sven Sprangler
54′R. Bennett
61′Ronan Coughlan
65′Ryan LeakCourtney Alphonso Clarke
65′Sven SpranglerCharlie Crew
74′Harrison Neal
76′Reece Smith
76′Lewis McCann
78′Ronan CoughlanAaron Loupalo-Bi
80′Mark Helm
81′Declan SkuraElicha Ahui
82′Lewis SimperTaione Richard Evumena Sodje
82′Aaron Pressley
89′Ched EvansWill davies
90′Isaac Moore

Highbury Stadium, FleetwoodReferee: J. Robinson

Fleetwood Town 38%
Draw 29%
Walsall 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

17 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 2
46 Possession % 54
7 Corners 1
12 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 1
1 Saves 6
232 Accurate passes 326

Fleetwood Town vs Walsall overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Fleetwood Town vs Walsall

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFleetwood TownDrawWalsall
Model34.5%34.4%31.0%
Market39.8%27.6%32.6%
Final38.4%29.3%32.2%
Edge-1.3%+1.7%-0.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Fleetwood Town ↓ / Walsall → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 16% 12% 1 13% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 84%
2+ goals 58%
3+ goals 30%
No goals 16%

Fleetwood Town and Walsall expected goals

Fleetwood Town 0.99
Walsall 0.92

Total expected goals: 1.91

Fleetwood Town and Walsall attack and defence ratings

Fleetwood Town

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Walsall

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 0.76 -24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Fleetwood Town vs Walsall: result vs prediction

Fleetwood Town 1 – 1 Walsall

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

League Two

Before and after this match

Fleetwood Town vs Walsall markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Fleetwood Town 38.4% 2.60 -1.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 70.2% 1.42 — —
Both teams to score No 61.0% 1.64 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.7% 1.41 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.5% 1.53 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Fleetwood Town38.4%
Draw29.3%
Walsall32.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.529.8%
Under 2.570.2%
Both teams to scoreYes39.0%
No61.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.8%
12 (either side)70.7%
X2 (draw or away)61.6%
Handicap -1Fleetwood Town win13.5%
Push (exactly one goal)21.0%
Loss65.5%
Correct score (top 3)0-016.2%
1-114.8%
1-013.3%

Fleetwood Town vs Walsall stats

Fleetwood Town and Walsall recent form

newest first
Fleetwood Town LLLWDW
Walsall DWDDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Fleetwood Town and Walsall going into this match

league record before kick-off

Fleetwood Town record

  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.

Walsall record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.

Fleetwood Town vs Walsall head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Fleetwood Town wins 2Draws 2Walsall wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-03WalsallFleetwood TownLeague Two0-1
2025-09-13Fleetwood TownWalsallLeague Two1-1
2025-01-28Fleetwood TownWalsallLeague Two2-0
2024-10-01WalsallFleetwood TownLeague Two2-6
2019-03-09WalsallFleetwood TownLeague One2-0
2018-11-17Fleetwood TownWalsallLeague One0-0
2018-05-05Fleetwood TownWalsallLeague One2-0
2017-11-21WalsallFleetwood TownLeague One4-2
2017-03-14WalsallFleetwood TownLeague One0-1
2016-12-10Fleetwood TownWalsallLeague One2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Fleetwood Town vs Walsall odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.8%, draw 27.6%, away 32.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.33 3.34 2.85
Bet365 2.45 3.30 2.75
BetVictor 2.38 3.40 2.88
Betano 2.35 3.40 2.85
Betfair 2.30 3.60 2.88
Dafabet 2.38 3.50 2.90
Marathonbet 2.31 3.34 2.83
Pinnacle 2.41 3.52 2.86
SBO 2.16 3.08 2.75
William Hill 2.30 3.30 2.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.34 ▲ +0.24
X 3.37 ▼ -0.09
2 2.85 ▼ -0.45

13 snapshots recorded, from .