Garuda Lions
Today
League Two · Full time ·Matchday 11

Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham

2 – 0 Full time

38′brandon cover
46′Shaun Rooney
53′Sonny AljofreeAaron Nemane
53′Josh Austerfieldkian spence
54′Tom BradshawK. Lolas
54′brandon coverJayce Fitzgerald
62′H. Douglas
65′Ched EvansWill davies
65′Mark Helm
66′Ronan Coughlan
77′Adam MurphyCrispin McLean
80′Ronan Coughlan
85′Mark HelmConor Haughey
85′Ronan CoughlanR. Cirino
89′K. Lolas
89′Jay Lynch
90′Dominic Iorfa
90′Lewis McCann

Highbury Stadium, Fleetwood

Fleetwood Town 45%
Draw 27%
Rotherham 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

15 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 0
54 Possession % 46
9 Corners 6
9 Fouls 14
5 Offsides 2
0 Saves 3
233 Accurate passes 187

Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFleetwood TownDrawRotherham
Model53.2%26.8%20.0%
Market41.8%27.4%30.8%
Final44.7%27.2%28.1%
Edge+11.4%-0.6%-10.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Fleetwood Town

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 0.93.
  • The market prices Fleetwood Town below the model: +11.4 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Fleetwood Town ↓ / Rotherham → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 11% 13% 2 10% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 48%
No goals 9%

Fleetwood Town and Rotherham expected goals

Fleetwood Town 1.65
Rotherham 0.93

Total expected goals: 2.58

Fleetwood Town and Rotherham attack and defence ratings

Fleetwood Town

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Rotherham

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 1.29 +29%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham: result vs prediction

Fleetwood Town 2 – 0 Rotherham

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

League Two

Before and after this match

Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Fleetwood Town 44.7% 2.24 +11.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.3% 1.91 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.1% 2.00 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.8% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 46.8% 2.14 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Fleetwood Town44.7%
Draw27.2%
Rotherham28.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.7%
Under 2.552.3%
Both teams to scoreYes50.1%
No49.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.9%
12 (either side)72.8%
X2 (draw or away)55.3%
Handicap -1Fleetwood Town win29.5%
Push (exactly one goal)23.7%
Loss46.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.8%
1-011.3%
2-010.3%

Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham stats

Fleetwood Town and Rotherham recent form

newest first
Fleetwood Town DLLLWD
Rotherham LLDWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Fleetwood Town and Rotherham going into this match

league record before kick-off

Fleetwood Town record

  • They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.

Rotherham record

  • They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).

Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

4Fleetwood Town wins 1Draws 4Rotherham wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-08-27Fleetwood TownRotherhamLeague Cup2-1
2022-07-07RotherhamFleetwood TownFriendlies Clubs2-0
2022-07-07Fleetwood TownRotherhamFriendlies Clubs0-2
2022-01-15Fleetwood TownRotherhamLeague One1-0
2021-09-11RotherhamFleetwood TownLeague One2-4
2019-12-21RotherhamFleetwood TownLeague One2-2
2018-04-07RotherhamFleetwood TownLeague One3-2
2017-08-05Fleetwood TownRotherhamLeague One2-0
2014-08-12RotherhamFleetwood TownLeague Cup1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 42.1%, draw 27.2%, away 30.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.24 3.42 2.93
Bet365 2.20 3.30 3.20
BetVictor 2.25 3.40 3.10
Betano 2.25 3.45 3.00
Betfair 2.20 3.50 3.10
Dafabet 2.20 3.50 3.25
Marathonbet 2.22 3.42 2.91
Pinnacle 2.24 3.65 3.06
SBO 2.10 3.00 2.77
William Hill 2.15 3.30 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.23 ▼ -0.21
X 3.41 ▲ +0.05
2 3.03 ▲ +0.39

13 snapshots recorded, from .