Rotherham
vs
Gillingham
1 – 4 Full time
| 17′ | Paul Mullin | ||
| 34′ | Ronan Chapman Hale | ||
| 45′ | Ossama AshleyJamie Jellis | ||
| 47′ | James Brophy | ||
| 51′ | Logan Dobbs | ||
| 60′ | Lamin Sillah | ||
| 61′ | Josh AusterfieldTom Bradshaw | ||
| 66′ | Julian Eyestone | ||
| 67′ | Ronan Chapman Hale | ||
| 68′ | kian spenceAaron Nemane | ||
| 75′ | Dominic Iorfa | ||
| 77′ | Armani LittleEthan·Coleman | ||
| 78′ | Harry WaldockBradley Dack | ||
| 82′ | Ronan Chapman HaleS. Kendall | ||
| 82′ | Lamin SillahTom Eaves | ||
| 83′ | Logan DobbsJack Daley | ||
| 84′ | Dominic IorfaJayce Fitzgerald | ||
| 88′ | Sonny Aljofree | ||
| 89′ | Tom Eaves |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 62 | Possession % | 38 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 0 | Saves | 4 |
| 367 | Accurate passes | 182 |
Rotherham vs Gillingham overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rotherham vs Gillingham
| Probability | Rotherham | Draw | Gillingham |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.3% | 29.4% | 33.2% |
| Market | 48.8% | 27.0% | 24.2% |
| Final | 45.9% | 27.6% | 26.5% |
| Edge | -2.9% | +0.6% | +2.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Rotherham and Gillingham expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.52
Rotherham and Gillingham attack and defence ratings
Rotherham
Gillingham
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Rotherham vs Gillingham: result vs prediction
Rotherham 1 – 4 Gillingham
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Rotherham vs Gillingham markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rotherham | 45.9% | 2.18 | -2.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.7% | 1.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rotherham | 45.9% |
| Draw | 27.6% | |
| Gillingham | 26.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.4% |
| No | 47.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Rotherham win | 17.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.0% | |
| Loss | 62.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 0-0 | 9.4% | |
| 1-0 | 9.3% |
Rotherham vs Gillingham stats
Rotherham and Gillingham recent form
| Rotherham |
LDWDLD |
| Gillingham |
DLWWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Rotherham and Gillingham going into this match
Rotherham record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Gillingham record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Rotherham vs Gillingham head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-04-30 | Gillingham | Rotherham | League One | 0-2 |
| 2021-12-07 | Rotherham | Gillingham | League One | 5-1 |
| 2019-11-02 | Gillingham | Rotherham | League One | 0-3 |
| 2018-04-17 | Gillingham | Rotherham | League One | 0-1 |
| 2017-10-28 | Rotherham | Gillingham | League One | 1-3 |
| 2014-04-05 | Gillingham | Rotherham | League One | 3-4 |
| 2013-11-30 | Rotherham | Gillingham | League One | 4-1 |
| 2013-04-01 | Gillingham | Rotherham | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2012-12-08 | Rotherham | Gillingham | League Two | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Rotherham vs Gillingham odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.8%, draw 27.0%, away 24.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.91 | 3.45 | 3.76 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.40 | 3.90 |
| BetVictor | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.90 |
| Betano | 1.91 | 3.45 | 3.85 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.60 | 3.90 |
| Dafabet | 1.99 | 3.50 | 3.85 |
| Marathonbet | 1.89 | 3.45 | 3.74 |
| Pinnacle | 1.94 | 3.61 | 3.89 |
| SBO | 1.85 | 3.08 | 3.52 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.30 | 3.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .