League Two · Full time ·Matchday 10

Oldham vs Accrington ST

0 – 0 Full time

8′Joseph Anderson
11′Lewis Temple
15′Seamus ConneelyAidan borland
45′Alex HendersonConor Grant
56′Lewis Templewill sutton
56′Oliver HammondKane drummond
75′Kane drummond
76′Tom PettMike·Fondop-Talum
80′David Tutonda
83′Jamie Robson

Boundary Park, OldhamReferee: B. Toner

Oldham 48%
Draw 26%
Accrington ST 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

4 Shots 11
0 Shots on target 1
48 Possession % 52
2 Corners 9
12 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 3
1 Saves 0
195 Accurate passes 209

Oldham vs Accrington ST overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Oldham vs Accrington ST

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOldhamDrawAccrington ST
Model33.5%26.0%40.6%
Market53.4%25.4%21.1%
Final48.5%25.6%26.0%
Edge-5.0%+0.1%+4.9%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Oldham ↓ / Accrington ST → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 6% 1 12% 9% 2 8% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 6%

Oldham and Accrington ST expected goals

Oldham 1.47
Accrington ST 1.63

Total expected goals: 3.09

Oldham and Accrington ST attack and defence ratings

Oldham

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 1.31 +31%

Accrington ST

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 1.17 +17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Oldham vs Accrington ST: result vs prediction

Oldham 0 – 0 Accrington ST

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

League Two

Before and after this match

Oldham vs Accrington ST markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Oldham 48.5% 2.06 -5.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59.8% 1.67 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.9% 1.59 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.4% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.5% 1.50 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Oldham48.5%
Draw25.6%
Accrington ST26.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559.8%
Under 2.540.2%
Both teams to scoreYes62.9%
No37.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.0%
12 (either side)74.4%
X2 (draw or away)51.5%
Handicap -1Oldham win16.1%
Push (exactly one goal)17.3%
Loss66.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.9%
1-28.8%
2-17.9%

Oldham vs Accrington ST stats

Oldham and Accrington ST recent form

newest first
Oldham LLLLDW
Accrington ST WDDLWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Oldham and Accrington ST going into this match

league record before kick-off

Oldham record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.

Accrington ST record

  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Oldham vs Accrington ST head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1Oldham wins 1Draws 3Accrington ST wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-02OldhamAccrington STLeague Two3-0
2025-11-29Accrington STOldhamLeague Two1-0
2025-08-05Accrington STOldhamLeague Cup3-1
2021-08-24OldhamAccrington STLeague Cup0-0
2019-10-08OldhamAccrington STEFL Trophy0-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Oldham vs Accrington ST odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 53.4%, draw 25.4%, away 21.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.74 3.68 4.30
Bet365 1.75 3.60 4.50
BetVictor 1.75 3.70 4.50
Betano 1.78 3.60 4.40
Betfair 1.75 3.80 4.50
Dafabet 1.78 3.80 4.50
Marathonbet 1.72 3.68 4.30
Pinnacle 1.79 3.77 4.45
SBO 1.63 3.42 4.08
William Hill 1.75 3.50 4.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.75 ▲ +0.15
X 3.68 ▼ -0.32
2 4.43 ▼ -0.57

13 snapshots recorded, from .