Oldham
vs
Salford City
1 – 4 Full time
| 5′ | Luke Molyneux | ||
| 19′ | Kelly N'Mai | ||
| 21′ | Calum Kavanagh | ||
| 34′ | Abraham Odoh | ||
| 45′ | Macaulay Langstaff | ||
| 45′ | Noah ChilversKane drummond | ||
| 57′ | Brendan Sarpeng-Wiredu | ||
| 62′ | Ben Woodburnadebola oluwo | ||
| 62′ | Abraham OdohJorge Grant | ||
| 75′ | Ryan DelaneyElliott Nevitt | ||
| 78′ | Kelly N'MaiMatt·Butcher | ||
| 79′ | Luke MolyneuxLuke Garbutt | ||
| 81′ | Mike·Fondop-TalumFavour fawunmi | ||
| 81′ | adebola oluwo | ||
| 84′ | Macaulay LangstaffDaniel Udoh |
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 16 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 47 | Possession % | 53 |
| 11 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Offsides | 2 |
| 3 | Saves | 2 |
| 249 | Accurate passes | 298 |
Oldham vs Salford City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Oldham vs Salford City
| Probability | Oldham | Draw | Salford City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.7% | 29.8% | 35.5% |
| Market | 38.4% | 27.5% | 34.1% |
| Final | 37.5% | 28.1% | 34.5% |
| Edge | -3.6% | +2.3% | +1.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Oldham and Salford City expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.47
Oldham and Salford City attack and defence ratings
Oldham
Salford City
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Oldham vs Salford City: result vs prediction
Oldham 1 – 4 Salford City
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Oldham vs Salford City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Oldham | 37.5% | 2.67 | -3.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.1% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Oldham | 37.5% |
| Draw | 28.1% | |
| Salford City | 34.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.6% |
| No | 48.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Oldham win | 15.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.3% | |
| Loss | 65.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 0-0 | 9.7% | |
| 0-1 | 9.2% |
Oldham vs Salford City stats
Oldham and Salford City recent form
| Oldham |
LLLDWL |
| Salford City |
WDWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Oldham and Salford City going into this match
Oldham record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
Salford City record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
Oldham vs Salford City head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Oldham | Salford City | League Two | 1-2 |
| 2025-10-18 | Salford City | Oldham | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2022-04-23 | Oldham | Salford City | League Two | 1-2 |
| 2021-11-27 | Salford City | Oldham | League Two | 2-0 |
| 2021-08-31 | Oldham | Salford City | EFL Trophy | 1-0 |
| 2021-01-30 | Oldham | Salford City | League Two | 2-1 |
| 2020-10-31 | Salford City | Oldham | League Two | 2-0 |
| 2020-01-25 | Salford City | Oldham | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2019-12-29 | Oldham | Salford City | League Two | 1-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Oldham vs Salford City odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.4%, draw 27.5%, away 34.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.40 | 3.35 | 2.69 |
| Bet365 | 2.40 | 3.50 | 2.70 |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.70 |
| Betano | 2.45 | 3.35 | 2.72 |
| Betfair | 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.40 | 3.35 | 2.69 |
| Pinnacle | 2.47 | 3.48 | 2.81 |
| SBO | 2.34 | 3.12 | 2.60 |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 3.25 | 2.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .