Rochdale
vs
Oldham
2 – 0 Full time
| 7′ | Daniel Moss | ||
| 45′ | Kai PayneCalum Kavanagh | ||
| 57′ | Jonny SmithLuke Hannant | ||
| 63′ | Dajaune Brown | ||
| 66′ | Favour fawunmiJosh Hawkes | ||
| 66′ | Donervorn DanielsLewis Temple | ||
| 67′ | Kaiden WilsonLaurence Maguire | ||
| 67′ | Daniel MossOlutobi Adebayo-Rowling | ||
| 77′ | Dajaune BrownEmmanuel Dieseruvwe | ||
| 77′ | K. TaylorEdward Francis |
Match stats
| 7 | Shots | 17 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 49 | Possession % | 51 |
| 0 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 1 | Saves | 0 |
| 260 | Accurate passes | 274 |
Rochdale vs Oldham overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rochdale vs Oldham
| Probability | Rochdale | Draw | Oldham |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.1% | 26.9% | 39.0% |
| Market | 25.3% | 26.2% | 48.5% |
| Final | 27.5% | 26.4% | 46.1% |
| Edge | +8.8% | +0.8% | -9.6% |
Why Oldham
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Rochdale and Oldham expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.92
Rochdale and Oldham attack and defence ratings
Rochdale
Oldham
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Rochdale vs Oldham: result vs prediction
Rochdale 2 – 0 Oldham
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Rochdale vs Oldham markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Oldham | 46.1% | 2.17 | -9.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.1% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rochdale | 27.5% |
| Draw | 26.4% | |
| Oldham | 46.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.1% |
| No | 39.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 53.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Oldham win | 19.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 61.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.6% |
| 1-2 | 8.7% | |
| 2-1 | 8.1% |
Rochdale vs Oldham stats
Rochdale and Oldham recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Rochdale and Oldham going into this match
Rochdale record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Oldham record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
Rochdale vs Oldham head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-15 | Oldham | Rochdale | National League | 1-1 |
| 2025-02-04 | Rochdale | Oldham | National League | 0-1 |
| 2024-04-06 | Oldham | Rochdale | National League | 1-1 |
| 2023-10-21 | Rochdale | Oldham | National League | 3-4 |
| 2022-01-29 | Oldham | Rochdale | League Two | 0-0 |
| 2021-09-25 | Rochdale | Oldham | League Two | 0-1 |
| 2018-12-11 | Rochdale | Oldham | EFL Trophy | 2-0 |
| 2018-04-17 | Rochdale | Oldham | League One | 0-0 |
| 2017-11-18 | Oldham | Rochdale | League One | 3-1 |
| 2017-04-22 | Oldham | Rochdale | League One | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Rochdale vs Oldham odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 25.3%, draw 26.2%, away 48.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.66 | 3.54 | 1.91 |
| Bet365 | 3.80 | 3.40 | 1.91 |
| BetVictor | 3.60 | 3.60 | 1.95 |
| Betano | 3.75 | 3.40 | 1.95 |
| Betfair | 3.70 | 3.70 | 1.95 |
| Marathonbet | 3.64 | 3.54 | 1.89 |
| Pinnacle | 3.79 | 3.69 | 1.94 |
| SBO | 3.18 | 3.12 | 1.87 |
| William Hill | 3.60 | 3.40 | 1.91 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .