Oldham
vs
Chesterfield
1 – 2 Full time
| 18′ | Lee Bonis | ||
| 28′ | Oliver Norburn | ||
| 30′ | Remeao Hutton | ||
| 37′ | Kyle McFadzean | ||
| 50′ | Favour fawunmi | ||
| 52′ | Dilan Markanday | ||
| 55′ | Ryan Delaney | ||
| 57′ | Favour fawunmiNoah Chilvers | ||
| 57′ | Ryan DelaneyEmmanuel Monthe | ||
| 61′ | Ryan StirkTom Naylor | ||
| 66′ | Oliver NorburnTom Pett | ||
| 70′ | Louie MarshLiam Mandeville | ||
| 78′ | Calum KavanaghKai Payne | ||
| 78′ | Kane drummondElliott Nevitt | ||
| 80′ | Remeao HuttonJunior Eccleston | ||
| 80′ | George McEachranKiano Dyer | ||
| 81′ | Josh KoromaJoel Randall | ||
| 82′ | Junior Eccleston |
Match stats
| 8 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 47 | Possession % | 53 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Offsides | 3 |
| 3 | Saves | 5 |
| 270 | Accurate passes | 312 |
Oldham vs Chesterfield overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Oldham vs Chesterfield
| Probability | Oldham | Draw | Chesterfield |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.7% | 30.1% | 29.3% |
| Market | 44.2% | 27.7% | 28.1% |
| Final | 43.3% | 28.3% | 28.4% |
| Edge | -3.5% | +2.4% | +1.2% |
Why Oldham
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Oldham and Chesterfield expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.39
Oldham and Chesterfield attack and defence ratings
Oldham
Chesterfield
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Oldham vs Chesterfield: result vs prediction
Oldham 1 – 2 Chesterfield
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Oldham vs Chesterfield markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Oldham | 43.3% | 2.31 | -3.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Oldham | 43.3% |
| Draw | 28.3% | |
| Chesterfield | 28.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.6% |
| No | 50.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Oldham win | 19.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 59.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 1-0 | 10.7% | |
| 0-0 | 10.4% |
Oldham vs Chesterfield stats
Oldham and Chesterfield recent form
| Oldham |
LDWLWL |
| Chesterfield |
DDLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Oldham and Chesterfield going into this match
Oldham record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Chesterfield record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Oldham vs Chesterfield head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | Chesterfield | Oldham | League Two | 0-3 |
| 2026-01-01 | Oldham | Chesterfield | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2024-03-16 | Oldham | Chesterfield | National League | 2-2 |
| 2023-08-19 | Chesterfield | Oldham | National League | 1-1 |
| 2023-02-25 | Chesterfield | Oldham | National League | 0-1 |
| 2022-09-03 | Oldham | Chesterfield | National League | 0-2 |
| 2017-02-04 | Chesterfield | Oldham | League One | 0-1 |
| 2016-09-10 | Oldham | Chesterfield | League One | 0-0 |
| 2016-03-28 | Oldham | Chesterfield | League One | 1-0 |
| 2015-11-14 | Chesterfield | Oldham | League One | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Oldham vs Chesterfield odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.2%, draw 27.7%, away 28.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.11 | 3.34 | 3.33 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.30 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.30 |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.35 | 3.25 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.09 | 3.34 | 3.32 |
| Pinnacle | 2.11 | 3.49 | 3.45 |
| SBO | 2.06 | 3.08 | 2.94 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .