Crawley Town
vs
Cheltenham
1 – 3 Full time
| 7′ | Dylan Morgan | ||
| 32′ | Charlie McCann | ||
| 35′ | Andreas Weimann | ||
| 35′ | Dylan Morgan | ||
| 42′ | Charlie Barker | ||
| 45′ | Jake Evans | ||
| 54′ | Charlie McCann | ||
| 64′ | Dion PereiraPemi Aderoju | ||
| 67′ | Jude Arthurs | ||
| 70′ | Jake EvansRyan Broom | ||
| 70′ | Shaun McWilliamsFreddie willcox | ||
| 72′ | Priestley Farquharson | ||
| 75′ | Danilo OrsiGianmarco biase di | ||
| 75′ | Louie WatsonKlaudio Krasniqi | ||
| 78′ | Andreas WeimannK. Otchere | ||
| 85′ | Jordan Shipley | ||
| 86′ | Jordan ShipleyJames Wilson | ||
| 86′ | Ade AdeyemoJonathan Russell | ||
| 87′ | Dylan MorganMalcolm Ebiowei |
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 61 | Possession % | 39 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Offsides | 8 |
| 0 | Saves | 5 |
| 364 | Accurate passes | 222 |
Crawley Town vs Cheltenham overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Crawley Town vs Cheltenham
| Probability | Crawley Town | Draw | Cheltenham |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.8% | 25.3% | 31.9% |
| Market | 39.1% | 26.5% | 34.4% |
| Final | 40.1% | 26.2% | 33.7% |
| Edge | +3.7% | -1.2% | -2.5% |
Why Crawley Town
- The market prices Crawley Town below the model: +3.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Crawley Town and Cheltenham expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.20
Crawley Town and Cheltenham attack and defence ratings
Crawley Town
Cheltenham
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Crawley Town vs Cheltenham: result vs prediction
Crawley Town 1 – 3 Cheltenham
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Crawley Town vs Cheltenham markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Crawley Town | 40.1% | 2.50 | +3.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.8% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Crawley Town | 40.1% |
| Draw | 26.2% | |
| Cheltenham | 33.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.4% |
| No | 35.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Crawley Town win | 23.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 57.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | |
| 1-2 | 7.6% |
Crawley Town vs Cheltenham stats
Crawley Town and Cheltenham recent form
| Crawley Town |
LDLWLL |
| Cheltenham |
DWDLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Crawley Town and Cheltenham going into this match
Crawley Town record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
Cheltenham record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
Crawley Town vs Cheltenham head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | Cheltenham | Crawley Town | League Two | 3-0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Crawley Town | Cheltenham | League Two | 2-0 |
| 2021-04-16 | Crawley Town | Cheltenham | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2020-10-10 | Cheltenham | Crawley Town | League Two | 2-0 |
| 2019-08-31 | Crawley Town | Cheltenham | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2019-01-05 | Crawley Town | Cheltenham | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2018-08-04 | Cheltenham | Crawley Town | League Two | 0-1 |
| 2018-03-24 | Crawley Town | Cheltenham | League Two | 3-5 |
| 2017-08-12 | Cheltenham | Crawley Town | League Two | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Crawley Town vs Cheltenham odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 39.1%, draw 26.5%, away 34.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.36 | 3.50 | 2.71 |
| Bet365 | 2.40 | 3.50 | 2.70 |
| BetVictor | 2.40 | 3.60 | 2.70 |
| Betano | 2.37 | 3.60 | 2.70 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.70 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.36 | 3.50 | 2.71 |
| Pinnacle | 2.44 | 3.67 | 2.73 |
| SBO | 2.18 | 3.16 | 2.66 |
| William Hill | 2.38 | 3.40 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .