Grimsby
vs
Crawley Town
2 – 0 Full time
| 29′ | Nicholas Michalski | ||
| 30′ | Iwan Morgan | ||
| 39′ | Priestley Farquharson | ||
| 42′ | Kieran Green | ||
| 48′ | Maldini Kacurri | ||
| 54′ | Mark SheltonJamie Walker | ||
| 56′ | Osman kamaraPemi Aderoju | ||
| 58′ | Ade Adeyemo | ||
| 65′ | Géza Dávid Turi | ||
| 68′ | Ty Ewens-FindlayLouie Watson | ||
| 68′ | Ade AdeyemoDion Pereira | ||
| 70′ | Iwan MorganSonny Finch | ||
| 70′ | Finn CartwrightRyley Reynolds | ||
| 85′ | Dylan MorganNathan Tinsdale | ||
| 85′ | Danilo OrsiMalcolm Ebiowei | ||
| 87′ | Malcolm Ebiowei | ||
| 89′ | Charles VernamJoe Foulkes | ||
| 89′ | Kieran GreenCian Doyle |
Match stats
| 22 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 44 | Possession % | 56 |
| 9 | Corners | 6 |
| 17 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 8 |
| 199 | Accurate passes | 265 |
Grimsby vs Crawley Town overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Grimsby vs Crawley Town
| Probability | Grimsby | Draw | Crawley Town |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.2% | 22.7% | 17.1% |
| Market | 67.0% | 19.5% | 13.5% |
| Final | 65.3% | 20.3% | 14.4% |
| Edge | -6.8% | +3.2% | +3.6% |
Why Grimsby
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.05 vs 1.01.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Grimsby and Crawley Town expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.07
Grimsby and Crawley Town attack and defence ratings
Grimsby
Crawley Town
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Grimsby vs Crawley Town: result vs prediction
Grimsby 2 – 0 Crawley Town
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Grimsby vs Crawley Town markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Grimsby | 65.3% | 1.53 | -6.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.6% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.6% | 2.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Grimsby | 65.3% |
| Draw | 20.3% | |
| Crawley Town | 14.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.5% |
| No | 43.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 34.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Grimsby win | 37.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.7% | |
| Loss | 39.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.7% |
| 2-1 | 10.0% | |
| 2-0 | 9.8% |
Grimsby vs Crawley Town stats
Grimsby and Crawley Town recent form
| Grimsby |
WDDDDW |
| Crawley Town |
LLDLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Grimsby and Crawley Town going into this match
Grimsby record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Crawley Town record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
Grimsby vs Crawley Town head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Crawley Town | Grimsby | League Two | 0-2 |
| 2025-08-02 | Grimsby | Crawley Town | League Two | 3-0 |
| 2024-04-27 | Crawley Town | Grimsby | League Two | 2-0 |
| 2023-09-23 | Grimsby | Crawley Town | League Two | 2-3 |
| 2023-03-28 | Crawley Town | Grimsby | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2022-10-08 | Grimsby | Crawley Town | League Two | 3-0 |
| 2021-02-23 | Grimsby | Crawley Town | League Two | 2-1 |
| 2020-11-24 | Crawley Town | Grimsby | League Two | 1-2 |
| 2020-01-25 | Crawley Town | Grimsby | League Two | 3-2 |
| 2019-12-29 | Grimsby | Crawley Town | League Two | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Grimsby vs Crawley Town odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 67.0%, draw 19.5%, away 13.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.37 | 4.85 | 6.97 |
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 4.50 | 7.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.80 | 7.00 |
| Betano | 1.42 | 4.70 | 6.50 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 5.00 | 7.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.36 | 4.85 | 6.90 |
| Pinnacle | 1.37 | 5.27 | 7.39 |
| SBO | 1.41 | 3.92 | 4.94 |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.60 | 6.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .