Walsall
vs
Port Vale
2 – 0 Full time
| 17′ | Antony EvansLewis Simper | ||
| 27′ | Sven Sprangler | ||
| 40′ | Elicha Ahui | ||
| 45′ | James Connolly | ||
| 45′ | Oliver LynchMax Watters | ||
| 50′ | James Connolly | ||
| 51′ | Kyle Dempsey | ||
| 61′ | George ByersOnel Hernández | ||
| 61′ | Ben WaineGeorge Cardinal Joseph·Hall | ||
| 61′ | Kyle DempseyRhys Walters | ||
| 70′ | Taione Richard Evumena SodjeAndrew Dallas | ||
| 73′ | Kyle JohnJasper·Moon | ||
| 84′ | Ben Garrity | ||
| 85′ | Courtney Alphonso ClarkeAlbert Adomah | ||
| 85′ | Reece SmithCharlie Crew | ||
| 89′ | Andrew Dallas | ||
| 90′ | Jasper·Moon |
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 64 | Possession % | 36 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 5 | Offsides | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 349 | Accurate passes | 132 |
Walsall vs Port Vale overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Walsall vs Port Vale
| Probability | Walsall | Draw | Port Vale |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.9% | 34.1% | 18.0% |
| Market | 38.9% | 28.7% | 32.4% |
| Final | 41.1% | 30.1% | 28.8% |
| Edge | +9.0% | +5.4% | -14.4% |
Why Walsall
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.14 vs 0.60.
- The market prices Walsall below the model: +9.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Walsall and Port Vale expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.74
Walsall and Port Vale attack and defence ratings
Walsall
Port Vale
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Walsall vs Port Vale: result vs prediction
Walsall 2 – 0 Port Vale
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Walsall vs Port Vale markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Walsall | 41.1% | 2.43 | +9.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Walsall | 41.1% |
| Draw | 30.1% | |
| Port Vale | 28.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 25.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 74.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 31.8% |
| No | 68.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Walsall win | 21.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.6% | |
| Loss | 52.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 18.9% |
| 0-0 | 18.7% | |
| 1-1 | 13.2% |
Walsall vs Port Vale stats
Walsall and Port Vale recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Walsall and Port Vale going into this match
Walsall record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Port Vale record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Walsall vs Port Vale head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-05 | Walsall | Port Vale | League Two | 2-3 |
| 2024-12-07 | Port Vale | Walsall | League Two | 0-1 |
| 2022-04-23 | Walsall | Port Vale | League Two | 2-0 |
| 2021-11-23 | Port Vale | Walsall | League Two | 0-1 |
| 2021-01-23 | Port Vale | Walsall | League Two | 1-3 |
| 2020-12-19 | Walsall | Port Vale | League Two | 4-3 |
| 2020-02-22 | Walsall | Port Vale | League Two | 2-2 |
| 2019-12-07 | Port Vale | Walsall | League Two | 0-1 |
| 2018-11-13 | Walsall | Port Vale | EFL Trophy | 1-2 |
| 2017-04-25 | Walsall | Port Vale | League One | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Walsall vs Port Vale odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.9%, draw 28.7%, away 32.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.40 | 3.12 | 2.93 |
| Bet365 | 2.40 | 3.30 | 2.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.38 | 3.40 | 2.88 |
| Betano | 2.42 | 3.25 | 2.87 |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.38 | 3.12 | 2.90 |
| Pinnacle | 2.44 | 3.27 | 3.01 |
| SBO | 2.23 | 2.98 | 2.59 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.10 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .