Accrington ST
vs
Newport County
0 – 0 Full time
| 21′ | Donald Love | ||
| 53′ | Charlie CatonCole Stockton | ||
| 66′ | Connor O'BrienOliver Smith | ||
| 66′ | Kieron Thomas EvansMichael Adu-Poku | ||
| 78′ | Cameron Norman | ||
| 81′ | David TutondaJoel Catesby | ||
| 83′ | Harrison Biggins | ||
| 86′ | Harrison BigginsTanatswa Nyakuhwa | ||
| 86′ | Christian DoidgeShaquille Gwengwe | ||
| 90′ | Stefan Mols |
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 58 | Possession % | 42 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 21 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 4 | Saves | 4 |
| 273 | Accurate passes | 156 |
Accrington ST vs Newport County overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Accrington ST vs Newport County
| Probability | Accrington ST | Draw | Newport County |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.2% | 23.1% | 39.7% |
| Market | 46.1% | 27.4% | 26.5% |
| Final | 43.9% | 26.3% | 29.8% |
| Edge | -8.9% | -4.3% | +13.2% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Accrington ST and Newport County expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.74
Accrington ST and Newport County attack and defence ratings
Accrington ST
Newport County
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Accrington ST vs Newport County: result vs prediction
Accrington ST 0 – 0 Newport County
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Accrington ST vs Newport County markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Accrington ST | 43.9% | 2.28 | -8.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.2% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Accrington ST | 43.9% |
| Draw | 26.3% | |
| Newport County | 29.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 27.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.4% |
| No | 27.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Accrington ST win | 20.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.2% | |
| Loss | 62.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.1% |
| 1-2 | 7.9% | |
| 2-1 | 7.6% |
Accrington ST vs Newport County stats
Accrington ST and Newport County recent form
| Accrington ST |
LWDLLD |
| Newport County |
DLLDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Accrington ST and Newport County going into this match
Accrington ST record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Newport County record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- 70% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Accrington ST vs Newport County head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 | Newport County | Accrington ST | League Two | 1-4 |
| 2025-10-11 | Accrington ST | Newport County | League Two | 0-1 |
| 2025-03-11 | Accrington ST | Newport County | League Two | 5-0 |
| 2024-08-24 | Newport County | Accrington ST | League Two | 3-1 |
| 2024-04-09 | Newport County | Accrington ST | League Two | 1-3 |
| 2023-08-05 | Accrington ST | Newport County | League Two | 3-0 |
| 2018-04-24 | Newport County | Accrington ST | League Two | 2-1 |
| 2017-11-18 | Accrington ST | Newport County | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2017-04-22 | Newport County | Accrington ST | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2016-10-29 | Accrington ST | Newport County | League Two | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Accrington ST vs Newport County odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.1%, draw 27.4%, away 26.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.01 | 3.38 | 3.50 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.45 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.99 | 3.38 | 3.48 |
| Pinnacle | 2.04 | 3.55 | 3.62 |
| SBO | 1.94 | 3.04 | 3.06 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .