Port Vale
vs
Exeter City
1 – 0 Full time
| 57′ | Jake Doyle Hayes | ||
| 63′ | Gwion EdwardsJack Paul Taylor | ||
| 70′ | George Byers | ||
| 71′ | Danny RoseGeorge Birch | ||
| 71′ | Jake Doyle HayesTaylor Perry | ||
| 73′ | Jordan Gabriel | ||
| 76′ | Ben WaineGeorge Cardinal Joseph·Hall | ||
| 77′ | George Byers | ||
| 79′ | Edward JamesLakyle·Samuel | ||
| 79′ | Vincent HarperEthan Sutherland | ||
| 86′ | Oliver LynchTyreece Simpson | ||
| 86′ | Lewis MontsmaCameron Humphreys | ||
| 86′ | George ByersOnel Hernández | ||
| 90′ | Taylor Perry | ||
| 90′ | Ben Garrity |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 0 |
| 53 | Possession % | 47 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 0 | Saves | 3 |
| 268 | Accurate passes | 232 |
Port Vale vs Exeter City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Port Vale vs Exeter City
| Probability | Port Vale | Draw | Exeter City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.8% | 34.2% | 43.1% |
| Market | 46.7% | 27.3% | 26.0% |
| Final | 40.7% | 29.0% | 30.2% |
| Edge | -23.9% | +6.8% | +17.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Port Vale and Exeter City expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.84
Port Vale and Exeter City attack and defence ratings
Port Vale
Exeter City
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Port Vale vs Exeter City: result vs prediction
Port Vale 1 – 0 Exeter City
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Port Vale vs Exeter City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Port Vale | 40.7% | 2.45 | -23.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.9% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 77.2% | 1.29 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Port Vale | 40.7% |
| Draw | 29.0% | |
| Exeter City | 30.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 28.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 71.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36.1% |
| No | 63.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Port Vale win | 7.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.7% | |
| Loss | 77.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 17.1% |
| 0-1 | 16.3% | |
| 1-1 | 14.2% |
Port Vale vs Exeter City stats
Port Vale and Exeter City recent form
| Port Vale |
LLDDLL |
| Exeter City |
DDLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Port Vale and Exeter City going into this match
Port Vale record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
Exeter City record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
Port Vale vs Exeter City head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Port Vale | Exeter City | League One | 1-3 |
| 2025-09-13 | Exeter City | Port Vale | League One | 0-2 |
| 2024-04-13 | Port Vale | Exeter City | League One | 2-4 |
| 2023-12-09 | Exeter City | Port Vale | League One | 0-1 |
| 2023-02-18 | Port Vale | Exeter City | League One | 1-0 |
| 2022-11-05 | Port Vale | Exeter City | FA Cup | 2-3 |
| 2022-08-06 | Exeter City | Port Vale | League One | 4-0 |
| 2022-05-07 | Exeter City | Port Vale | League Two | 0-1 |
| 2022-03-22 | Port Vale | Exeter City | League Two | 0-0 |
| 2021-04-02 | Port Vale | Exeter City | League Two | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Port Vale vs Exeter City odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.7%, draw 27.3%, away 26.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.00 | 3.42 | 3.56 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.75 |
| Marathonbet | 1.98 | 3.42 | 3.55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.03 | 3.57 | 3.62 |
| SBO | 1.98 | 3.04 | 3.18 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .