Gillingham
vs
Tranmere
2 – 0 Full time
| 26′ | Robbie McKenzie | ||
| 31′ | Nathan Smith | ||
| 35′ | Eli King | ||
| 55′ | Harry WaldockGarath McCleary | ||
| 58′ | Dylan JonesJordan·Davies | ||
| 68′ | Logan Dobbs | ||
| 70′ | Sam FinleyTom Conlon | ||
| 70′ | Charlie Jay WhitakerZane Okoro | ||
| 76′ | Darrell James Clarke | ||
| 79′ | Nathan SmithGeorge nevett | ||
| 79′ | Jacob SlaterDavid Kamara | ||
| 80′ | Ronan Chapman Hale | ||
| 80′ | Logan DobbsJack Daley | ||
| 82′ | Ronan Chapman HaleLamin Sillah | ||
| 86′ | Conor McManus | ||
| 89′ | Will Vaulks | ||
| 90′ | Robbie McKenzieMichael Luxton | ||
| 90′ | Conor McManusS. Kendall |
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 47 | Possession % | 53 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 3 | Saves | 3 |
| 214 | Accurate passes | 275 |
Gillingham vs Tranmere overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gillingham vs Tranmere
| Probability | Gillingham | Draw | Tranmere |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.2% | 27.0% | 41.8% |
| Market | 37.1% | 28.8% | 34.2% |
| Final | 35.6% | 28.3% | 36.1% |
| Edge | -5.8% | -1.8% | +7.6% |
Why Tranmere
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Tranmere below the model: +7.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Gillingham and Tranmere expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.88
Gillingham and Tranmere attack and defence ratings
Gillingham
Tranmere
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Gillingham vs Tranmere: result vs prediction
Gillingham 2 – 0 Tranmere
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Gillingham vs Tranmere markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tranmere | 36.1% | 2.77 | +7.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.7% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gillingham | 35.6% |
| Draw | 28.3% | |
| Tranmere | 36.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.1% |
| No | 40.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tranmere win | 21.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 58.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.7% |
| 1-2 | 9.0% | |
| 2-1 | 7.6% |
Gillingham vs Tranmere stats
Gillingham and Tranmere recent form
| Gillingham |
WDDDLL |
| Tranmere |
WDDDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Gillingham and Tranmere going into this match
Gillingham record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Tranmere record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- 64% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gillingham vs Tranmere head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | Gillingham | Tranmere | League Two | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-16 | Tranmere | Gillingham | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2025-01-25 | Tranmere | Gillingham | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2024-09-14 | Gillingham | Tranmere | League Two | 3-0 |
| 2024-03-09 | Gillingham | Tranmere | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2023-11-25 | Tranmere | Gillingham | League Two | 3-1 |
| 2023-03-11 | Gillingham | Tranmere | League Two | 2-0 |
| 2022-08-13 | Tranmere | Gillingham | League Two | 3-0 |
| 2019-09-07 | Tranmere | Gillingham | League One | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Gillingham vs Tranmere odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.1%, draw 28.8%, away 34.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.50 | 3.22 | 2.71 |
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 3.10 | 2.75 |
| BetVictor | 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.75 |
| Betano | 2.60 | 3.10 | 2.75 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.50 | 2.55 |
| Marathonbet | 2.50 | 3.22 | 2.71 |
| Pinnacle | 2.52 | 3.39 | 2.80 |
| SBO | 2.41 | 2.97 | 2.51 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.10 | 2.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .