Shrewsbury
vs
Colchester
2 – 2 Full time
| 10′ | Luca Hoole | ||
| 19′ | Moses Sesay | ||
| 29′ | Luca Hoole | ||
| 61′ | George Lloyd | ||
| 67′ | Josh Davisonwill gray | ||
| 73′ | Bradley ihionveinOscar thorn | ||
| 73′ | Harry AndersonBeryly Lubala | ||
| 89′ | J. Turner-Cook | ||
| 90′ | K. KouassiKien Connelly | ||
| 90′ | Isaac Fletcher | ||
| 90′ | Moses Sesay |
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 39 | Possession % | 61 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 160 | Accurate passes | 331 |
Shrewsbury vs Colchester overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Shrewsbury vs Colchester
| Probability | Shrewsbury | Draw | Colchester |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.4% | 31.6% | 40.1% |
| Market | 39.1% | 28.4% | 32.5% |
| Final | 36.4% | 29.2% | 34.4% |
| Edge | -10.7% | +3.2% | +7.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Shrewsbury and Colchester expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.20
Shrewsbury and Colchester attack and defence ratings
Shrewsbury
Colchester
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Shrewsbury vs Colchester: result vs prediction
Shrewsbury 2 – 2 Colchester
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Shrewsbury vs Colchester markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shrewsbury | 36.4% | 2.75 | -10.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shrewsbury | 36.4% |
| Draw | 29.2% | |
| Colchester | 34.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.3% |
| No | 54.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Shrewsbury win | 10.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.5% | |
| Loss | 71.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 12.5% | |
| 0-1 | 12.2% |
Shrewsbury vs Colchester stats
Shrewsbury and Colchester recent form
| Shrewsbury |
DWLLWL |
| Colchester |
DDLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Shrewsbury and Colchester going into this match
Shrewsbury record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Colchester record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
Shrewsbury vs Colchester head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | Colchester | Shrewsbury | League Two | 2-0 |
| 2025-08-16 | Shrewsbury | Colchester | League Two | 0-2 |
| 2023-11-04 | Shrewsbury | Colchester | FA Cup | 3-2 |
| 2016-02-27 | Colchester | Shrewsbury | League One | 0-0 |
| 2015-10-10 | Shrewsbury | Colchester | League One | 4-2 |
| 2014-03-18 | Colchester | Shrewsbury | League One | 1-0 |
| 2013-10-22 | Shrewsbury | Colchester | League One | 1-1 |
| 2013-04-20 | Colchester | Shrewsbury | League One | 0-0 |
| 2012-10-27 | Shrewsbury | Colchester | League One | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Shrewsbury vs Colchester odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 39.1%, draw 28.4%, away 32.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.40 | 3.15 | 2.90 |
| Bet365 | 2.40 | 3.30 | 2.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.40 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
| Betano | 2.42 | 3.30 | 2.85 |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.88 |
| Marathonbet | 2.38 | 3.15 | 2.88 |
| Pinnacle | 2.43 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
| SBO | 2.34 | 2.93 | 2.49 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.10 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .