League Two · Full time ·Matchday 11

Colchester vs Exeter City

0 – 0 Full time

17′Jay Williams
39′Jack Fitzwater
62′Oscar thornronnie harvey
62′George BirchEthan Sutherland
62′Anthony ScullyReece Cole
62′Taylor PerrySonny Cox
66′Charlie Cummins
74′Robert Donald HuntKane Vincent-Young
74′Bradley ihionveinKien Connelly
79′Beryly Lubala
80′Josh GordonVincent Harper
90′Beryly LubalaLeon Chiwome

Colchester Community Stadium, Colchester

Colchester 41%
Draw 30%
Exeter City 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

18 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 1
52 Possession % 48
5 Corners 2
16 Fouls 11
4 Offsides 0
1 Saves 2
277 Accurate passes 249

Colchester vs Exeter City overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Colchester vs Exeter City

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityColchesterDrawExeter City
Model34.0%36.6%29.4%
Market43.8%27.7%28.5%
Final41.3%29.9%28.8%
Edge-9.7%+8.9%+0.8%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Colchester ↓ / Exeter City → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 20% 13% 1 15% 14% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 80%
2+ goals 52%
3+ goals 24%
No goals 20%

Colchester and Exeter City expected goals

Colchester 0.89
Exeter City 0.81

Total expected goals: 1.70

Colchester and Exeter City attack and defence ratings

Colchester

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Exeter City

Attack 0.66 -34%
Defence 0.71 -29%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Colchester vs Exeter City: result vs prediction

Colchester 0 – 0 Exeter City

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

League Two

Before and after this match

Colchester vs Exeter City markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Colchester 41.3% 2.42 -9.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 75.7% 1.32 — —
Both teams to score No 65.9% 1.52 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 71.2% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.9% 1.52 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Colchester41.3%
Draw29.9%
Exeter City28.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.524.3%
Under 2.575.7%
Both teams to scoreYes34.1%
No65.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.2%
12 (either side)70.1%
X2 (draw or away)58.7%
Handicap -1Colchester win12.5%
Push (exactly one goal)21.6%
Loss65.9%
Correct score (top 3)0-019.5%
1-015.0%
1-114.5%

Colchester vs Exeter City stats

Colchester and Exeter City recent form

newest first
Colchester LDDDLL
Exeter City WWLDLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Colchester and Exeter City going into this match

league record before kick-off

Colchester record

  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Exeter City record

  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.

Colchester vs Exeter City head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Colchester wins 3Draws 5Exeter City wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2022-04-15Exeter CityColchesterLeague Two2-0
2021-11-23ColchesterExeter CityLeague Two3-1
2021-02-23ColchesterExeter CityLeague Two1-2
2020-11-24Exeter CityColchesterLeague Two6-1
2020-06-22Exeter CityColchesterLeague Two3-1
2020-06-18ColchesterExeter CityLeague Two1-0
2020-01-25Exeter CityColchesterLeague Two0-0
2019-12-29ColchesterExeter CityLeague Two2-2
2019-03-16Exeter CityColchesterLeague Two3-0
2018-11-24ColchesterExeter CityLeague Two1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Colchester vs Exeter City odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.8%, draw 27.8%, away 28.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.13 3.35 3.20
Bet365 2.10 3.30 3.40
BetVictor 2.15 3.40 3.30
Betano 2.15 3.35 3.25
Betfair 2.15 3.50 3.30
Dafabet 2.12 3.55 3.35
Marathonbet 2.11 3.35 3.18
Pinnacle 2.19 3.42 3.34
SBO 1.96 3.07 2.98
William Hill 2.10 3.25 3.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.12 ▲ +0.09
X 3.35 ▼ -0.15
2 3.25 ▼ -0.09

13 snapshots recorded, from .