Exeter City
vs
Crewe
2 – 0 Full time
| 21′ | Anthony Scully | ||
| 45′ | Jake Doyle HayesReece Cole | ||
| 45′ | Kyle UreReece Hutchinson | ||
| 45′ | Joe WhiteCharlie McNeill | ||
| 57′ | Charlie McNeill | ||
| 58′ | Taylor PerryHarry Kite | ||
| 60′ | Lee Bell | ||
| 66′ | Anthony ScullyJosh Gordon | ||
| 79′ | Sonny CoxVincent Harper | ||
| 79′ | George BirchEthan Sutherland | ||
| 79′ | Jordan GibsonAdrien thibaut | ||
| 81′ | Jack Fitzwater | ||
| 85′ | Matthew James Taylor | ||
| 86′ | Owen luntCalum·Agius | ||
| 90′ | Reece Cole |
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 16 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 46 | Possession % | 54 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 4 | Saves | 3 |
| 277 | Accurate passes | 329 |
Exeter City vs Crewe overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Exeter City vs Crewe
| Probability | Exeter City | Draw | Crewe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.2% | 38.8% | 34.0% |
| Market | 37.7% | 29.3% | 33.0% |
| Final | 35.1% | 31.7% | 33.2% |
| Edge | -2.6% | +2.4% | +0.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Exeter City and Crewe expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.52
Exeter City and Crewe attack and defence ratings
Exeter City
Crewe
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Exeter City vs Crewe: result vs prediction
Exeter City 2 – 0 Crewe
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Exeter City vs Crewe markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Exeter City | 35.1% | 2.85 | -2.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 80.3% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Exeter City | 35.1% |
| Draw | 31.7% | |
| Crewe | 33.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 19.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 80.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 29.5% |
| No | 70.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Exeter City win | 8.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.9% | |
| Loss | 72.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 23.0% |
| 0-1 | 16.6% | |
| 1-0 | 14.1% |
Exeter City vs Crewe stats
Exeter City and Crewe recent form
| Exeter City |
DWWLDL |
| Crewe |
WWWDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Exeter City and Crewe going into this match
Exeter City record
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 11 matches.
Crewe record
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
Exeter City vs Crewe head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-03-03 | Exeter City | Crewe | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2019-10-05 | Crewe | Exeter City | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2019-02-23 | Crewe | Exeter City | League Two | 1-2 |
| 2018-12-15 | Exeter City | Crewe | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2018-02-20 | Crewe | Exeter City | League Two | 1-2 |
| 2017-09-16 | Exeter City | Crewe | League Two | 3-0 |
| 2017-02-04 | Exeter City | Crewe | League Two | 4-0 |
| 2016-09-10 | Crewe | Exeter City | League Two | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Exeter City vs Crewe odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.7%, draw 29.3%, away 33.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.50 | 3.04 | 2.81 |
| Bet365 | 2.35 | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.25 | 2.88 |
| Betano | 2.45 | 3.20 | 2.87 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.55 | 3.25 | 2.85 |
| Marathonbet | 2.50 | 3.04 | 2.81 |
| Pinnacle | 2.50 | 3.17 | 3.02 |
| SBO | 2.41 | 3.00 | 2.61 |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 3.00 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .