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League Two · Full time ·Matchday 12

Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury

2 – 3 Full time

3′Luca Hoole
4′Ade Adeyemo
37′Jonathan Russell
43′Josh Davison
62′Josh Davison
71′Nathan TinsdalePemi Aderoju
71′Lewis RichardsKellan Gordon
79′Kai JenningsLouie Watson
79′Priestley FarquharsonPele Arganese-McDermott
82′George Lloyd
84′Dylan Morgan
85′Dylan Morgan
86′Osman kamaraDion Pereira
90′Josh Davison
90′George Lloyd

Broadfield Stadium, CrawleyReferee: I. Searle

Crawley Town 34%
Draw 29%
Shrewsbury 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 7
58 Possession % 42
4 Corners 2
8 Fouls 8
4 Offsides 1
4 Saves 4
292 Accurate passes 183

Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCrawley TownDrawShrewsbury
Model35.6%30.1%34.3%
Market33.2%28.0%38.7%
Final33.8%28.6%37.6%
Edge+0.6%+0.5%-1.1%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Shrewsbury

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Crawley Town ↓ / Shrewsbury → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 9% 1 10% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 71%
3+ goals 44%
No goals 10%

Crawley Town and Shrewsbury expected goals

Crawley Town 1.22
Shrewsbury 1.20

Total expected goals: 2.42

Crawley Town and Shrewsbury attack and defence ratings

Crawley Town

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 1.29 +29%

Shrewsbury

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury: result vs prediction

Crawley Town 2 – 3 Shrewsbury

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

League Two

Before and after this match

Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Shrewsbury 37.6% 2.66 -1.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.4% 1.77 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.5% 1.98 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.4% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.7% 1.52 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Crawley Town33.8%
Draw28.6%
Shrewsbury37.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.543.6%
Under 2.556.4%
Both teams to scoreYes50.5%
No49.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)62.4%
12 (either side)71.4%
X2 (draw or away)66.2%
Handicap -1Shrewsbury win15.0%
Push (exactly one goal)19.3%
Loss65.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.3%
0-010.2%
1-09.6%

Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury stats

Crawley Town and Shrewsbury recent form

newest first
Crawley Town LDLLLD
Shrewsbury WLWDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Crawley Town and Shrewsbury going into this match

league record before kick-off

Crawley Town record

  • They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.

Shrewsbury record

  • They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.

Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Crawley Town wins 4Draws 4Shrewsbury wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-18Crawley TownShrewsburyLeague Two0-0
2025-10-18ShrewsburyCrawley TownLeague Two1-0
2025-05-03ShrewsburyCrawley TownLeague One1-2
2024-10-12Crawley TownShrewsburyLeague One3-5
2014-03-11ShrewsburyCrawley TownLeague One1-1
2013-09-14Crawley TownShrewsburyLeague One1-1
2013-04-01ShrewsburyCrawley TownLeague One3-0
2012-12-08Crawley TownShrewsburyLeague One2-2
2012-02-27ShrewsburyCrawley TownLeague Two2-1
2011-10-15Crawley TownShrewsburyLeague Two2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 33.2%, draw 28.0%, away 38.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.72 3.28 2.42
Bet365 2.90 3.25 2.38
BetVictor 2.80 3.40 2.40
Betano 2.87 3.35 2.37
Betfair 2.80 3.50 2.40
Dafabet 2.95 3.40 2.42
Marathonbet 2.72 3.28 2.42
Pinnacle 2.89 3.48 2.41
SBO 2.69 3.11 2.30
William Hill 2.80 3.20 2.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.80 ▲ +0.26
X 3.31 ▼ -0.06
2 2.40 ▼ -0.20

10 snapshots recorded, from .