League Two
·
Full time
·Matchday 13
Crawley Town
vs
Tranmere
1 – 1 Full time
| 32′ | Kai Jennings | ||
| 45′ | dylan jonesCharlie Jay Whitaker | ||
| 52′ | Dylan Morgan | ||
| 57′ | Tom ConlonDavid Kamara | ||
| 60′ | Will Vaulks | ||
| 67′ | Thomas Ince | ||
| 69′ | Danilo OrsiPemi Aderoju | ||
| 69′ | Ade AdeyemoDion Pereira | ||
| 76′ | Will Vaulks | ||
| 89′ | Stephen·Duke-MckennaNathan Tinsdale |
Crawley Town
35%
Draw
27%
Tranmere
37%
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 38 | Possession % | 62 |
| 5 | Corners | 15 |
| 12 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 3 | Saves | 6 |
| 182 | Accurate passes | 336 |
Crawley Town vs Tranmere overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Crawley Town vs Tranmere
| Probability | Crawley Town | Draw | Tranmere |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.4% | 27.5% | 39.1% |
| Market | 36.0% | 27.3% | 36.7% |
| Final | 35.3% | 27.4% | 37.3% |
| Edge | -0.7% | +0.0% | +0.6% |
Why Tranmere
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
78%
3+ goals
53%
No goals
7%
Crawley Town and Tranmere expected goals
Crawley Town
1.35
Tranmere
1.47
Total expected goals: 2.81
Crawley Town and Tranmere attack and defence ratings
Crawley Town
Attack
0.92 -8%
Defence
1.36 +36%
Tranmere
Attack
0.93 -7%
Defence
1.04 +4%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Crawley Town vs Tranmere: result vs prediction
Crawley Town 1 – 1 Tranmere
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town — team news & stats
- Northampton vs Colchester
- Cheltenham v Newport County — match page
- Rotherham vs Shrewsbury — team news & stats
- Rochdale vs Accrington ST
- Chesterfield v Crewe — match page
- Gillingham vs Grimsby — team news & stats
- Exeter City v Fleetwood Town — match page
Before and after this match
Crawley Town vs Tranmere markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tranmere | 37.3% | 2.68 | +0.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Crawley Town | 35.3% |
| Draw | 27.4% | |
| Tranmere | 37.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.1% |
| No | 41.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tranmere win | 19.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 61.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.0% |
| 1-2 | 8.7% | |
| 2-1 | 8.0% |
Crawley Town vs Tranmere stats
Crawley Town and Tranmere recent form
| Crawley Town |
LLDLLL |
| Tranmere |
WLDLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Crawley Town and Tranmere going into this match
Crawley Town record
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
Tranmere record
- They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Crawley Town vs Tranmere head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4Crawley Town wins
0Draws
6Tranmere wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Tranmere | Crawley Town | League Two | 2-0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Crawley Town | Tranmere | League Two | 0-2 |
| 2024-03-23 | Tranmere | Crawley Town | League Two | 1-3 |
| 2023-09-16 | Crawley Town | Tranmere | League Two | 3-2 |
| 2023-04-15 | Crawley Town | Tranmere | League Two | 2-1 |
| 2023-02-28 | Tranmere | Crawley Town | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2022-01-22 | Crawley Town | Tranmere | League Two | 0-1 |
| 2021-11-06 | Crawley Town | Tranmere | FA Cup | 0-1 |
| 2021-10-02 | Tranmere | Crawley Town | League Two | 2-1 |
| 2021-03-06 | Tranmere | Crawley Town | League Two | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Crawley Town vs Tranmere odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.9%, draw 27.3%, away 36.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.54 | 3.42 | 2.50 |
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 3.30 | 2.55 |
| BetVictor | 2.60 | 3.50 | 2.55 |
| Betano | 2.60 | 3.40 | 2.57 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.60 | 2.55 |
| Dafabet | 2.65 | 3.55 | 2.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.54 | 3.42 | 2.50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.64 | 3.67 | 2.52 |
| SBO | 2.38 | 3.02 | 2.38 |
| William Hill | 2.60 | 3.40 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.60 ▼ -0.40
X
3.42 ▼ -0.08
2
2.55 ▲ +0.39
9 snapshots recorded, from .