Crawley Town
vs
Tranmere
Garuda Lions Prediction: Tranmere
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Crawley Town vs Tranmere overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Crawley Town vs Tranmere
| Probability | Crawley Town | Draw | Tranmere |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.1% | 27.5% | 38.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 34.1% | 27.5% | 38.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Crawley Town vs Tranmere match preview
Crawley Town faces Tranmere in a League Two matchup with Crawley Town holding a 34% probability of winning, while Tranmere stands at 38%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2 in favor of Tranmere, with a 9% likelihood. Both teams have struggled recently, with Crawley Town recording four losses and two draws in their last six matches, while Tranmere has managed only one win in their last six games, resulting in four draws and two losses.
The expected goals for Crawley Town is 1.37, slightly lower than Tranmere's 1.46. Additionally, there is a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored and a 58% chance that both teams will find the net. In their last two encounters, Tranmere has won both matches against Crawley Town, indicating a challenging matchup for the hosts.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Crawley Town and Tranmere expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.82
Crawley Town and Tranmere attack and defence ratings
Crawley Town
Tranmere
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Crawley Town vs Tranmere markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tranmere | 38.4% | 2.61 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.6% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Crawley Town | 34.1% |
| Draw | 27.5% | |
| Tranmere | 38.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.4% |
| No | 41.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tranmere win | 18.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.5% | |
| Loss | 61.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.0% |
| 1-2 | 8.6% | |
| 2-1 | 8.1% |
Crawley Town vs Tranmere stats
Crawley Town and Tranmere recent form
| Crawley Town |
LDLLLD |
| Tranmere |
LDLDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Crawley Town and Tranmere season so far
Crawley Town record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Tranmere record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Crawley Town vs Tranmere head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Tranmere | Crawley Town | League Two | 2-0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Crawley Town | Tranmere | League Two | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.