Tranmere
vs
Cheltenham
3 – 1 Full time
| 1′ | Charlie McCann | ||
| 23′ | dylan jones | ||
| 32′ | Jake Evans | ||
| 39′ | dylan jones | ||
| 45′ | Jordan Turnbull | ||
| 45′ | Charlie Jay Whitaker | ||
| 45′ | Jordan TurnbullNathan Smith | ||
| 60′ | Tom Conlon | ||
| 68′ | Jordan ShipleyGeorge Nurse | ||
| 68′ | Ryan BroomGeorge Miller | ||
| 78′ | Jonathan Tomkinson | ||
| 80′ | Andreas WeimannJake Bickerstaff | ||
| 89′ | dylan jonesLee O'Connor |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 41 | Possession % | 59 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Offsides | 8 |
| 1 | Saves | 6 |
| 242 | Accurate passes | 413 |
Tranmere vs Cheltenham overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tranmere vs Cheltenham
| Probability | Tranmere | Draw | Cheltenham |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.5% | 25.9% | 29.7% |
| Market | 49.1% | 25.7% | 25.1% |
| Final | 48.0% | 25.8% | 26.3% |
| Edge | -1.2% | +0.0% | +1.1% |
Why Tranmere
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 1.35.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Tranmere and Cheltenham expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.05
Tranmere and Cheltenham attack and defence ratings
Tranmere
Cheltenham
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Tranmere vs Cheltenham: result vs prediction
Tranmere 3 – 1 Cheltenham
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Tranmere vs Cheltenham markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tranmere | 48.0% | 2.08 | -1.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.4% | 1.80 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tranmere | 48.0% |
| Draw | 25.8% | |
| Cheltenham | 26.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.7% |
| No | 38.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tranmere win | 24.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 55.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.9% |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | |
| 1-2 | 7.4% |
Tranmere vs Cheltenham stats
Tranmere and Cheltenham recent form
| Tranmere |
DWLDLD |
| Cheltenham |
WWLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tranmere and Cheltenham going into this match
Tranmere record
- They have won 3 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cheltenham record
- They have won 6 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Tranmere vs Cheltenham head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | Cheltenham | Tranmere | League Two | 1-3 |
| 2025-11-15 | Tranmere | Cheltenham | League Two | 3-2 |
| 2025-03-28 | Tranmere | Cheltenham | League Two | 2-0 |
| 2024-11-22 | Cheltenham | Tranmere | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2021-04-02 | Cheltenham | Tranmere | League Two | 4-0 |
| 2020-09-19 | Tranmere | Cheltenham | League Two | 0-3 |
| 2019-01-12 | Cheltenham | Tranmere | League Two | 1-3 |
| 2018-08-11 | Tranmere | Cheltenham | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2016-02-20 | Tranmere | Cheltenham | National League | 0-1 |
| 2015-09-26 | Cheltenham | Tranmere | National League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Tranmere vs Cheltenham odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.1%, draw 25.7%, away 25.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.89 | 3.58 | 3.70 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.70 | 3.80 |
| BetVictor | 1.90 | 3.70 | 3.80 |
| Betano | 1.95 | 3.55 | 3.60 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.80 | 3.75 |
| Dafabet | 1.92 | 3.75 | 3.85 |
| Marathonbet | 1.87 | 3.58 | 3.68 |
| Pinnacle | 1.94 | 3.78 | 3.75 |
| SBO | 1.82 | 3.19 | 3.28 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .