League Two
·
Full time
·Matchday 14
Shrewsbury
vs
Gillingham
1 – 2 Full time
| 3′ | Harry Waldock | ||
| 22′ | Ethan·Coleman | ||
| 38′ | Gavin Cowan | ||
| 52′ | William Boyle | ||
| 57′ | Logan Dobbs | ||
| 59′ | George Lloyd | ||
| 63′ | George LloydMichael Golding | ||
| 65′ | Lamin SillahTom Eaves | ||
| 73′ | Ronan Chapman HaleArmani Little | ||
| 73′ | Ethan·ColemanBradley Dack | ||
| 80′ | Andy Smith | ||
| 81′ | Nick FreemanGarath McCleary | ||
| 82′ | Luca Hoole | ||
| 83′ | Josh DavisonJoseph Gbode | ||
| 83′ | Luca HooleArkelle Jude-Boyd | ||
| 87′ | Armani Little | ||
| 90′ | Kevin BerkoeLino Sousa | ||
| 90′ | Josh RuffelsJeval Thompson-Mckenzie |
Shrewsbury
47%
Draw
27%
Gillingham
26%
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 56 | Possession % | 44 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 6 | Fouls | 18 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 4 | Saves | 5 |
| 283 | Accurate passes | 208 |
Shrewsbury vs Gillingham overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Shrewsbury vs Gillingham
| Probability | Shrewsbury | Draw | Gillingham |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.5% | 25.0% | 30.5% |
| Market | 47.9% | 27.6% | 24.5% |
| Final | 47.1% | 27.0% | 26.0% |
| Edge | -0.9% | -0.7% | +1.5% |
Why Shrewsbury
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.78 vs 1.44.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
84%
3+ goals
63%
No goals
5%
Shrewsbury and Gillingham expected goals
Shrewsbury
1.78
Gillingham
1.44
Total expected goals: 3.22
Shrewsbury and Gillingham attack and defence ratings
Shrewsbury
Attack
1.08 +8%
Defence
1.18 +18%
Gillingham
Attack
1.04 +4%
Defence
1.17 +17%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Shrewsbury vs Gillingham: result vs prediction
Shrewsbury 1 – 2 Gillingham
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Shrewsbury vs Gillingham markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shrewsbury | 47.1% | 2.12 | -0.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.7% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shrewsbury | 47.1% |
| Draw | 27.0% | |
| Gillingham | 26.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.7% |
| No | 35.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Shrewsbury win | 24.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.0% | |
| Loss | 55.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | |
| 1-2 | 7.4% |
Shrewsbury vs Gillingham stats
Shrewsbury and Gillingham recent form
| Shrewsbury |
DWWLWD |
| Gillingham |
LDLWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Shrewsbury and Gillingham going into this match
Shrewsbury record
- They have won 5 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 13 matches.
Gillingham record
- They have won 4 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.1 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 13 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Shrewsbury vs Gillingham head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Shrewsbury wins
6Draws
2Gillingham wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Gillingham | Shrewsbury | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Shrewsbury | Gillingham | League Two | 3-3 |
| 2022-01-25 | Gillingham | Shrewsbury | League One | 0-0 |
| 2021-08-28 | Shrewsbury | Gillingham | League One | 2-1 |
| 2021-04-10 | Gillingham | Shrewsbury | League One | 0-0 |
| 2020-10-03 | Shrewsbury | Gillingham | League One | 1-1 |
| 2020-01-29 | Gillingham | Shrewsbury | League One | 2-0 |
| 2019-10-22 | Shrewsbury | Gillingham | League One | 1-1 |
| 2019-04-13 | Gillingham | Shrewsbury | League One | 0-2 |
| 2018-09-29 | Shrewsbury | Gillingham | League One | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Shrewsbury vs Gillingham odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.9%, draw 27.6%, away 24.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.92 | 3.35 | 3.84 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.90 |
| Betano | 2.00 | 3.35 | 3.70 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.80 |
| Dafabet | 1.97 | 3.45 | 4.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.90 | 3.35 | 3.82 |
| Pinnacle | 1.94 | 3.41 | 4.17 |
| SBO | 1.94 | 2.93 | 3.20 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.25 | 3.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.94 —
X
3.38 ▲ +0.02
2
3.81 ▲ +0.03
11 snapshots recorded, from .