Rotherham
vs
Shrewsbury
Garuda Lions Prediction: Shrewsbury
0 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Rotherham vs Shrewsbury overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rotherham vs Shrewsbury
| Probability | Rotherham | Draw | Shrewsbury |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.4% | 30.1% | 36.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 33.4% | 30.1% | 36.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Shrewsbury
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Rotherham vs Shrewsbury match preview
Rotherham will face Shrewsbury in an upcoming League Two match, with our model giving Rotherham a 33% chance of winning, while Shrewsbury has a 36% probability of securing victory. The likelihood of a draw stands at 30%. The most anticipated scoreline is 0-1 in favor of Shrewsbury, with a 10% probability. Expected goals suggest Rotherham will generate 1.18, compared to Shrewsbury's 1.24.
In terms of recent form, Rotherham has struggled with three consecutive losses, followed by a draw and a win, while Shrewsbury has shown better consistency with two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last five matches. There is a 44% chance for over 2.5 goals, and both teams scoring has a 51% probability, indicating a potentially competitive encounter.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Rotherham and Shrewsbury expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.42
Rotherham and Shrewsbury attack and defence ratings
Rotherham
Shrewsbury
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Rotherham vs Shrewsbury markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shrewsbury | 36.5% | 2.74 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.5% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rotherham | 33.4% |
| Draw | 30.1% | |
| Shrewsbury | 36.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.6% |
| No | 49.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Shrewsbury win | 16.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.0% | |
| Loss | 63.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 0-0 | 10.2% | |
| 0-1 | 9.7% |
Rotherham vs Shrewsbury stats
Rotherham and Shrewsbury recent form
| Rotherham |
LLLDWD |
| Shrewsbury |
WLWDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Rotherham and Shrewsbury season so far
Rotherham record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Shrewsbury record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.