Rotherham
vs
Shrewsbury
3 – 3 Full time
| 15′ | Paul Mullin | ||
| 18′ | Paul Mullin | ||
| 21′ | kian spence | ||
| 24′ | Josh Davison | ||
| 27′ | Jili Buyabubrandon cover | ||
| 31′ | A. Bruce | ||
| 45′ | George LloydMichael Golding | ||
| 45′ | Dominic IorfaSonny Aljofree | ||
| 59′ | Josh Ruffels | ||
| 62′ | Aaron NemaneBrandon Williams | ||
| 62′ | Paul MullinTom Bradshaw | ||
| 67′ | William Boyle | ||
| 76′ | Tom Bradshaw | ||
| 83′ | Kian McMahon-Brown | ||
| 90′ | Denzel Hall |
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 19 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 34 | Possession % | 66 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 4 | Saves | 2 |
| 158 | Accurate passes | 385 |
Rotherham vs Shrewsbury overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rotherham vs Shrewsbury
| Probability | Rotherham | Draw | Shrewsbury |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.8% | 27.5% | 38.6% |
| Market | 39.8% | 28.9% | 31.4% |
| Final | 38.3% | 28.5% | 33.2% |
| Edge | -1.5% | -0.3% | +1.8% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Rotherham and Shrewsbury expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.82
Rotherham and Shrewsbury attack and defence ratings
Rotherham
Shrewsbury
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Rotherham vs Shrewsbury: result vs prediction
Rotherham 3 – 3 Shrewsbury
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Rotherham vs Shrewsbury markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rotherham | 38.3% | 2.61 | -1.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rotherham | 38.3% |
| Draw | 28.5% | |
| Shrewsbury | 33.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.2% |
| No | 41.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Rotherham win | 15.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.1% | |
| Loss | 66.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.0% |
| 1-2 | 8.7% | |
| 2-1 | 8.0% |
Rotherham vs Shrewsbury stats
Rotherham and Shrewsbury recent form
| Rotherham |
DLLLDW |
| Shrewsbury |
WWLWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Rotherham and Shrewsbury going into this match
Rotherham record
- They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Shrewsbury record
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
Rotherham vs Shrewsbury head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-08 | Rotherham | Shrewsbury | League One | 1-2 |
| 2024-09-28 | Shrewsbury | Rotherham | League One | 1-1 |
| 2022-03-19 | Rotherham | Shrewsbury | League One | 0-3 |
| 2022-03-01 | Shrewsbury | Rotherham | League One | 0-0 |
| 2019-12-26 | Shrewsbury | Rotherham | League One | 1-2 |
| 2019-09-21 | Rotherham | Shrewsbury | League One | 0-0 |
| 2019-08-13 | Shrewsbury | Rotherham | League Cup | 0-4 |
| 2018-05-27 | Rotherham | Shrewsbury | League One | 2-1 |
| 2018-02-17 | Shrewsbury | Rotherham | League One | 0-1 |
| 2017-11-18 | Rotherham | Shrewsbury | League One | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Rotherham vs Shrewsbury odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 39.7%, draw 28.8%, away 31.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.35 | 3.20 | 2.94 |
| Bet365 | 2.35 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.38 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.35 | 3.25 | 2.95 |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.36 | 3.35 | 3.05 |
| Marathonbet | 2.33 | 3.20 | 2.91 |
| Pinnacle | 2.40 | 3.38 | 2.99 |
| SBO | 2.16 | 2.92 | 2.73 |
| William Hill | 2.38 | 3.10 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .