League Two
·
Full time
·Matchday 13
Bristol Rovers
vs
Swindon Town
0 – 0 Full time
| 20′ | S. InwoodBilly Kirkman | ||
| 37′ | Kofi Balmer | ||
| 63′ | Fabrizio CavegnBobby Kamwa | ||
| 63′ | Richard SmallwoodKeenan Gough | ||
| 64′ | Joe Snowdonantwoine hackford | ||
| 64′ | Tom NicholsJoseph Hungbo | ||
| 71′ | Bobby KamwaReiss-Alexander Russell-Denny | ||
| 76′ | Kaelan Majekodunmi | ||
| 83′ | Mitchell ClarkJoel McGregor | ||
| 84′ | Matthew Virtue-ThickJames Debayo | ||
| 90′ | Dan Butler |
Bristol Rovers
53%
Draw
24%
Swindon Town
23%
Match stats
| 22 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 58 | Possession % | 42 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Offsides | 4 |
| 3 | Saves | 8 |
| 246 | Accurate passes | 153 |
Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town
| Probability | Bristol Rovers | Draw | Swindon Town |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.7% | 28.6% | 32.7% |
| Market | 57.9% | 22.9% | 19.2% |
| Final | 53.1% | 24.3% | 22.6% |
| Edge | -4.8% | +1.4% | +3.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
75%
3+ goals
49%
No goals
8%
Bristol Rovers and Swindon Town expected goals
Bristol Rovers
1.38
Swindon Town
1.25
Total expected goals: 2.64
Bristol Rovers and Swindon Town attack and defence ratings
Bristol Rovers
Attack
0.90 -10%
Defence
1.20 +20%
Swindon Town
Attack
0.90 -10%
Defence
1.10 +10%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town: result vs prediction
Bristol Rovers 0 – 0 Swindon Town
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bristol Rovers | 53.1% | 1.88 | -4.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.8% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bristol Rovers | 53.1% |
| Draw | 24.3% | |
| Swindon Town | 22.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.8% |
| No | 45.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bristol Rovers win | 18.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 61.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 1-0 | 8.7% | |
| 2-1 | 8.6% |
Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town stats
Bristol Rovers and Swindon Town recent form
| Bristol Rovers |
LLLLWL |
| Swindon Town |
WDLLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bristol Rovers and Swindon Town going into this match
Bristol Rovers record
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Swindon Town record
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 12 matches.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Bristol Rovers wins
2Draws
6Swindon Town wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Swindon Town | Bristol Rovers | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2025-12-13 | Bristol Rovers | Swindon Town | League Two | 0-3 |
| 2024-10-08 | Swindon Town | Bristol Rovers | EFL Trophy | 4-0 |
| 2022-10-18 | Bristol Rovers | Swindon Town | EFL Trophy | 3-0 |
| 2022-01-22 | Swindon Town | Bristol Rovers | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2021-10-02 | Bristol Rovers | Swindon Town | League Two | 1-3 |
| 2021-03-23 | Bristol Rovers | Swindon Town | League One | 0-1 |
| 2020-11-21 | Swindon Town | Bristol Rovers | League One | 1-0 |
| 2019-11-13 | Bristol Rovers | Swindon Town | EFL Trophy | 1-0 |
| 2017-11-08 | Bristol Rovers | Swindon Town | EFL Trophy | 2-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 57.8%, draw 23.0%, away 19.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.60 | 4.05 | 4.82 |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 4.10 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 4.20 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.62 | 4.05 | 4.80 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.63 | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.58 | 4.05 | 4.85 |
| Pinnacle | 1.64 | 4.25 | 4.88 |
| SBO | 1.49 | 3.66 | 4.51 |
| William Hill | 1.65 | 3.80 | 4.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.62 ▲ +0.05
X
4.10 ▲ +0.16
2
4.88 ▼ -0.29
9 snapshots recorded, from .