League Two
·
Full time
·Matchday 13
Northampton
vs
Colchester
2 – 0 Full time
| 9′ | M. Warhurst | ||
| 15′ | Sam Hoskins | ||
| 30′ | Moses Sesay | ||
| 32′ | Lee Evans | ||
| 50′ | Bradley ihionveinJaden Williams | ||
| 50′ | Sam Hoskins | ||
| 61′ | Robert Donald HuntKane Vincent-Young | ||
| 61′ | Jay WilliamsJack Payne | ||
| 67′ | James Maxwelljosh powell | ||
| 67′ | Sam HoskinsJoe O'Brien Whitmarsh | ||
| 73′ | Ben perryPaul Digby | ||
| 74′ | Beryly LubalaKien Connelly | ||
| 82′ | M. WarhurstElliott List | ||
| 90′ | Owen DaleTyrese Fornah |
Northampton
43%
Draw
31%
Colchester
27%
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 4 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 35 | Possession % | 65 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 3 | Saves | 2 |
| 206 | Accurate passes | 481 |
Northampton vs Colchester overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Northampton vs Colchester
| Probability | Northampton | Draw | Colchester |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.4% | 36.9% | 30.7% |
| Market | 46.2% | 28.6% | 25.2% |
| Final | 42.7% | 30.7% | 26.6% |
| Edge | -3.5% | +2.1% | +1.4% |
Why Northampton
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
80%
2+ goals
51%
3+ goals
24%
No goals
20%
Northampton and Colchester expected goals
Northampton
0.85
Colchester
0.82
Total expected goals: 1.68
Northampton and Colchester attack and defence ratings
Northampton
Attack
0.64 -36%
Defence
0.90 -10%
Colchester
Attack
0.78 -22%
Defence
0.95 -5%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Northampton vs Colchester: result vs prediction
Northampton 2 – 0 Colchester
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town — team news & stats
- Cheltenham v Newport County — match page
- Rotherham vs Shrewsbury — team news & stats
- Rochdale vs Accrington ST
- Chesterfield v Crewe — match page
- Gillingham vs Grimsby — team news & stats
- Crawley Town vs Tranmere
- Exeter City v Fleetwood Town — match page
Before and after this match
Northampton vs Colchester markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Northampton | 42.7% | 2.34 | -3.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Northampton | 42.7% |
| Draw | 30.7% | |
| Colchester | 26.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 23.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 76.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 33.6% |
| No | 66.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Northampton win | 11.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 67.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 20.0% |
| 1-0 | 14.6% | |
| 1-1 | 14.5% |
Northampton vs Colchester stats
Northampton and Colchester recent form
| Northampton |
LWDLLW |
| Colchester |
DDLDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Northampton and Colchester going into this match
Northampton record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Colchester record
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
Northampton vs Colchester head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
7Northampton wins
0Draws
2Colchester wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-02-25 | Colchester | Northampton | League Two | 0-1 |
| 2022-07-30 | Northampton | Colchester | League Two | 3-2 |
| 2022-02-19 | Northampton | Colchester | League Two | 3-0 |
| 2021-08-14 | Colchester | Northampton | League Two | 0-1 |
| 2019-08-24 | Colchester | Northampton | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2019-02-02 | Northampton | Colchester | League Two | 0-4 |
| 2018-08-25 | Colchester | Northampton | League Two | 1-2 |
| 2015-09-01 | Northampton | Colchester | EFL Trophy | 3-2 |
| 2012-10-09 | Northampton | Colchester | EFL Trophy | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Northampton vs Colchester odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.2%, draw 28.5%, away 25.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.01 | 3.22 | 3.68 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.70 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.75 |
| Betano | 2.07 | 3.25 | 3.60 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| Dafabet | 2.07 | 3.30 | 3.75 |
| Marathonbet | 1.99 | 3.22 | 3.66 |
| Pinnacle | 2.04 | 3.33 | 3.85 |
| SBO | 1.98 | 2.87 | 3.17 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.20 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.01 ▼ -0.09
X
3.25 ▼ -0.01
2
3.68 ▲ +0.28
9 snapshots recorded, from .