Exeter City
vs
Fleetwood Town
Garuda Lions Prediction: Draw
0 – 0 Predicted score · 27% model probability
Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town
| Probability | Exeter City | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.1% | 41.5% | 31.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 27.1% | 41.5% | 31.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town match preview
Exeter City faces Fleetwood Town in a League Two clash on October 24, 2026. According to our model, Exeter City has a 27% probability of winning, while Fleetwood Town stands at 31%, with a draw being the most likely outcome at 42%. The expected goals for Exeter City are 0.64, slightly lower than Fleetwood Town's 0.71. The most probable scoreline is a goalless draw at 27%, indicating a potentially defensive matchup.
In terms of recent form, Exeter City has recorded two draws, a win, and two losses in their last six matches. Conversely, Fleetwood Town has shown some resilience with a recent win, but also has two losses and a draw in their last five games. The overall confidence grade for this fixture is rated C, suggesting uncertainty in the outcome.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Exeter City and Fleetwood Town expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.35
Exeter City and Fleetwood Town attack and defence ratings
Exeter City
Fleetwood Town
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 84.6% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 74.9% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Exeter City | 27.1% |
| Draw | 41.5% | |
| Fleetwood Town | 31.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 15.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 84.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 25.1% |
| No | 74.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 58.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Fleetwood Town win | 9.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 68.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 27.2% |
| 0-1 | 17.2% | |
| 1-0 | 15.4% |
Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town stats
Exeter City and Fleetwood Town recent form
| Exeter City |
DWWLDL |
| Fleetwood Town |
WDLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Exeter City and Fleetwood Town season so far
Exeter City record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
Fleetwood Town record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.