Exeter City
vs
Fleetwood Town
2 – 1 Full time
| 35′ | Taylor Perry | ||
| 45′ | Taylor PerryReece Cole | ||
| 58′ | Charlie Cummins | ||
| 60′ | Jack Fitzwater | ||
| 61′ | Ronan Coughlan | ||
| 61′ | Finley PotterDanny Andrew | ||
| 61′ | Ched EvansR. Cirino | ||
| 63′ | Anthony ScullyEthan Sutherland | ||
| 64′ | L. Woodhouse | ||
| 70′ | Crispin McLeanJosh Robertson | ||
| 70′ | Lewis McCannAaron Loupalo-Bi | ||
| 71′ | Josh GordonSonny Cox | ||
| 78′ | Harry KiteLiam Oakes | ||
| 78′ | George BirchVincent Harper |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 47 | Possession % | 53 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 2 |
| 272 | Accurate passes | 288 |
Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town
| Probability | Exeter City | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.8% | 37.7% | 23.5% |
| Market | 39.1% | 29.8% | 31.0% |
| Final | 39.0% | 31.8% | 29.2% |
| Edge | -0.1% | +2.0% | -1.9% |
Why Exeter City
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Exeter City and Fleetwood Town expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.57
Exeter City and Fleetwood Town attack and defence ratings
Exeter City
Fleetwood Town
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town: result vs prediction
Exeter City 2 – 1 Fleetwood Town
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Exeter City | 39.0% | 2.56 | -0.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Exeter City | 39.0% |
| Draw | 31.8% | |
| Fleetwood Town | 29.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 21.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 79.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 30.1% |
| No | 69.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Exeter City win | 14.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.2% | |
| Loss | 61.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 22.0% |
| 1-0 | 17.8% | |
| 1-1 | 13.7% |
Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town stats
Exeter City and Fleetwood Town recent form
| Exeter City |
WDWWLD |
| Fleetwood Town |
LWDLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Exeter City and Fleetwood Town going into this match
Exeter City record
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 12 matches.
Fleetwood Town record
- They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-24 | Exeter City | Fleetwood Town | League One | 1-1 |
| 2023-11-11 | Fleetwood Town | Exeter City | League One | 3-0 |
| 2023-04-01 | Fleetwood Town | Exeter City | League One | 2-2 |
| 2022-10-22 | Exeter City | Fleetwood Town | League One | 2-1 |
| 2014-03-22 | Exeter City | Fleetwood Town | League Two | 3-0 |
| 2013-09-28 | Fleetwood Town | Exeter City | League Two | 1-2 |
| 2013-03-09 | Fleetwood Town | Exeter City | League Two | 0-0 |
| 2012-11-10 | Exeter City | Fleetwood Town | League Two | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 39.1%, draw 29.9%, away 31.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.40 | 3.12 | 2.93 |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 3.10 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.38 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.37 | 3.20 | 2.95 |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 3.10 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.39 | 3.30 | 3.05 |
| Marathonbet | 2.38 | 3.12 | 2.90 |
| Pinnacle | 2.40 | 3.26 | 3.09 |
| SBO | 2.40 | 2.90 | 2.44 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .