Salford City
vs
Exeter City
Garuda Lions Prediction: Salford City
1 – 0 Predicted score · 17% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Salford City vs Exeter City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Salford City vs Exeter City
| Probability | Salford City | Draw | Exeter City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.5% | 36.1% | 24.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 39.5% | 36.1% | 24.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Salford City
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Salford City vs Exeter City match preview
Salford City will host Exeter City in a League Two clash on October 31, 2026. According to our model, Salford City has a 39% chance of winning, while the probability of a draw stands at 36% and Exeter City at 24%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Salford City, with an expected goals tally of 0.99 for Salford and 0.72 for Exeter.
In terms of recent form, Salford City is on a six-match winning streak, while Exeter City has won four of their last six games, with one draw and one loss. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 24%, and both teams scoring is projected at 33%. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating moderate certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Salford City and Exeter City expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.71
Salford City and Exeter City attack and defence ratings
Salford City
Exeter City
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Salford City vs Exeter City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Salford City | 39.5% | 2.53 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Salford City | 39.5% |
| Draw | 36.1% | |
| Exeter City | 24.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 24.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 75.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 33.4% |
| No | 66.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 63.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Salford City win | 15.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.8% | |
| Loss | 60.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 19.5% |
| 1-0 | 16.7% | |
| 1-1 | 14.2% |
Salford City vs Exeter City stats
Salford City and Exeter City recent form
| Salford City |
WWWWWW |
| Exeter City |
WWDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Salford City and Exeter City season so far
Salford City record
- They have won 8 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
Exeter City record
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 12 matches.