Salford City
vs
Exeter City
2 – 1 Full time
| 24′ | Will Norris | ||
| 34′ | Sonny Cox | ||
| 44′ | Elliot Bonds | ||
| 45′ | Brendan Sarpeng-Wiredu | ||
| 49′ | L. Woodhouse | ||
| 55′ | Luke MolyneuxDaniel Udoh | ||
| 66′ | Luke Garbutt | ||
| 69′ | Anthony ScullyJosh Gordon | ||
| 69′ | Sonny CoxVincent Harper | ||
| 69′ | Ben WoodburnMatt·Butcher | ||
| 74′ | Taylor PerryReece Cole | ||
| 80′ | George BirchEthan Sutherland | ||
| 80′ | Harry KiteLiam Oakes | ||
| 86′ | Brendan Sarpeng-WireduNathan Asiimwe | ||
| 88′ | Will Aimson |
Match stats
| 9 | Shots | 16 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 49 | Possession % | 51 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 2 | Saves | 1 |
| 447 | Accurate passes | 166 |
Salford City vs Exeter City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Salford City vs Exeter City
| Probability | Salford City | Draw | Exeter City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.5% | 33.8% | 23.7% |
| Market | 59.7% | 22.7% | 17.6% |
| Final | 55.4% | 25.5% | 19.1% |
| Edge | -4.3% | +2.8% | +1.5% |
Why Salford City
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.12 vs 0.76.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Salford City and Exeter City expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.88
Salford City and Exeter City attack and defence ratings
Salford City
Exeter City
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Salford City vs Exeter City: result vs prediction
Salford City 2 – 1 Exeter City
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Salford City vs Exeter City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Salford City | 55.4% | 1.80 | -4.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Salford City | 55.4% |
| Draw | 25.5% | |
| Exeter City | 19.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 29.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 70.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.4% |
| No | 62.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Salford City win | 18.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.1% | |
| Loss | 57.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 16.4% |
| 1-0 | 15.7% | |
| 1-1 | 14.3% |
Salford City vs Exeter City stats
Salford City and Exeter City recent form
| Salford City |
WWWWWW |
| Exeter City |
WWDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Salford City and Exeter City going into this match
Salford City record
- They have won 9 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 13 matches.
Exeter City record
- They have won 5 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.1 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 13 matches.
Salford City vs Exeter City head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-03-12 | Exeter City | Salford City | League Two | 0-0 |
| 2021-10-30 | Salford City | Exeter City | League Two | 1-2 |
| 2021-03-27 | Exeter City | Salford City | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2020-09-12 | Salford City | Exeter City | League Two | 2-2 |
| 2019-12-14 | Salford City | Exeter City | League Two | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Salford City vs Exeter City odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.7%, draw 22.7%, away 17.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.55 | 4.10 | 5.25 |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 4.20 | 5.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 4.20 | 5.75 |
| Betano | 1.60 | 3.95 | 5.20 |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 4.20 | 5.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.64 | 4.10 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.53 | 4.10 | 5.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56 | 4.27 | 5.71 |
| SBO | 1.53 | 3.50 | 4.42 |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .