Grimsby
vs
York
Garuda Lions Prediction: York
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Grimsby vs York overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Grimsby vs York
| Probability | Grimsby | Draw | York |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.1% | 27.1% | 38.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 34.1% | 27.1% | 38.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why York
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Grimsby vs York match preview
Grimsby Town faces York City in a League Two clash on October 31, 2026. According to our model, Grimsby has a 34% chance of winning, while York is favored at 39%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2 in favor of York, with a 9% likelihood. Both teams are expected to score, with a probability of 60%, and there is a 55% chance that the match will see over 2.5 goals.
In terms of recent form, Grimsby has struggled, recording one win and five losses in their last six matches, while York has shown more resilience with two wins and three draws in their last six games. The expected goals for Grimsby stand at 1.40, slightly lower than York's 1.50, indicating a competitive matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Grimsby and York expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.90
Grimsby and York attack and defence ratings
Grimsby
York
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Grimsby vs York markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | York | 38.8% | 2.58 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.7% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Grimsby | 34.1% |
| Draw | 27.1% | |
| York | 38.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.7% |
| No | 40.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | York win | 19.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 61.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.7% |
| 1-2 | 8.7% | |
| 2-1 | 8.1% |
Grimsby vs York stats
Grimsby and York recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Grimsby and York season so far
Grimsby record
- They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
York record
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.