Grimsby
vs
York
5 – 2 Full time
| 13′ | Andy Cook | ||
| 18′ | Alex Hunt | ||
| 28′ | Jack Hunt | ||
| 31′ | Iwan Morgan | ||
| 55′ | J. Stonesjovan malcolm | ||
| 55′ | Joey GreyFrankie Maguire | ||
| 67′ | Andy CookJosh andrews | ||
| 67′ | Charles VernamSonny Finch | ||
| 68′ | Ryan FallowfieldJoseph Rabole Felix | ||
| 68′ | Arthur ReadAlex Newby | ||
| 75′ | Cameron McJannett | ||
| 78′ | Josh andrews | ||
| 80′ | Jamie WalkerFinn Cartwright | ||
| 80′ | Harry BoyesZech Medley | ||
| 80′ | Iwan MorganJustin Ikechukwu Obiora Amaluzor | ||
| 86′ | Géza Dávid Turi | ||
| 90′ | Kieran GreenCian Doyle |
Match stats
| 24 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 31 | Possession % | 69 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 7 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 148 | Accurate passes | 437 |
Grimsby vs York overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Grimsby vs York
| Probability | Grimsby | Draw | York |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.2% | 26.1% | 32.7% |
| Market | 40.6% | 25.6% | 33.7% |
| Final | 40.8% | 25.7% | 33.5% |
| Edge | +0.1% | +0.1% | -0.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Grimsby and York expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.06
Grimsby and York attack and defence ratings
Grimsby
York
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Grimsby vs York: result vs prediction
Grimsby 5 – 2 York
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Grimsby vs York markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Grimsby | 40.8% | 2.45 | +0.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.3% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Grimsby | 40.8% |
| Draw | 25.7% | |
| York | 33.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.3% |
| No | 37.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Grimsby win | 21.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 58.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.0% |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | |
| 1-2 | 7.8% |
Grimsby vs York stats
Grimsby and York recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Grimsby and York going into this match
Grimsby record
- They have won 4 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
York record
- They have won 5 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Grimsby vs York head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-20 | York | Grimsby | Friendlies Clubs | 2-1 |
| 2012-03-13 | Grimsby | York | National League | 2-3 |
| 2012-02-25 | Grimsby | York | FA Trophy | 0-1 |
| 2011-10-15 | York | Grimsby | National League | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Grimsby vs York odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.6%, draw 25.6%, away 33.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.72 |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 3.75 | 2.75 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.70 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.82 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.70 | 2.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.31 | 3.75 | 2.85 |
| Marathonbet | 2.28 | 3.60 | 2.70 |
| Pinnacle | 2.33 | 3.88 | 2.79 |
| SBO | 2.17 | 3.21 | 2.51 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .