League Two
·
Full time
·Matchday 14
Port Vale
vs
Rochdale
4 – 2 Full time
| 2′ | Onel Hernández | ||
| 11′ | George Byers | ||
| 15′ | Harvey Gilmour | ||
| 22′ | Jordan Gabriel | ||
| 33′ | Glenn Middleton | ||
| 38′ | Cian Hayes | ||
| 45′ | Zain Silcott-DuberryEdward Francis | ||
| 45′ | Cian HayesLuke Hannant | ||
| 45′ | Glenn MiddletonIan Henderson | ||
| 48′ | Cameron Humphreys | ||
| 53′ | Max Watters Keyrol Alexis Figueroa Norales | ||
| 54′ | Onel HernándezOliver Lynch | ||
| 62′ | George Byers | ||
| 70′ | George ByersRhys Walters | ||
| 72′ | Babajide Ezekiel AdeekoJamie Paterson | ||
| 72′ | Kaiden Wilsonsam beckwith | ||
| 82′ | Ian Henderson | ||
| 86′ | Keyrol Alexis Figueroa Norales | ||
| 87′ | George Cardinal Joseph·HallMaleace asamoah | ||
| 88′ | Jordan GabrielKyle John | ||
| 90′ | Charlie Tasker |
Port Vale
52%
Draw
26%
Rochdale
22%
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 49 | Possession % | 51 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Offsides | 3 |
| 3 | Saves | 2 |
| 320 | Accurate passes | 324 |
Port Vale vs Rochdale overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Port Vale vs Rochdale
| Probability | Port Vale | Draw | Rochdale |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.0% | 32.1% | 31.9% |
| Market | 57.0% | 24.6% | 18.4% |
| Final | 51.8% | 26.4% | 21.8% |
| Edge | -5.3% | +1.9% | +3.4% |
Why Port Vale
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
87%
2+ goals
65%
3+ goals
37%
No goals
13%
Port Vale and Rochdale expected goals
Port Vale
1.12
Rochdale
1.04
Total expected goals: 2.16
Port Vale and Rochdale attack and defence ratings
Port Vale
Attack
0.59 -41%
Defence
0.94 -6%
Rochdale
Attack
0.94 -6%
Defence
1.35 +35%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Port Vale vs Rochdale: result vs prediction
Port Vale 4 – 2 Rochdale
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Newport County vs Chesterfield — team news & stats
- Grimsby v York — match page
- Fleetwood Town vs Bristol Rovers — team news & stats
- Oldham vs Crawley Town
- Shrewsbury v Gillingham — match page
- Swindon Town vs Rotherham — team news & stats
- Accrington ST vs Northampton
- Colchester v Walsall — match page
Before and after this match
Port Vale vs Rochdale markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Port Vale | 51.8% | 1.93 | -5.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.1% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Port Vale | 51.8% |
| Draw | 26.4% | |
| Rochdale | 21.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.9% |
| No | 55.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Port Vale win | 15.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 64.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 12.9% | |
| 1-0 | 11.6% |
Port Vale vs Rochdale stats
Port Vale and Rochdale recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Port Vale and Rochdale going into this match
Port Vale record
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Rochdale record
- They have won 4 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 13 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Port Vale vs Rochdale head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
5Port Vale wins
1Draws
4Rochdale wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-07-23 | Rochdale | Port Vale | Friendlies Clubs | 2-3 |
| 2022-02-22 | Rochdale | Port Vale | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2021-10-05 | Port Vale | Rochdale | EFL Trophy | 1-0 |
| 2021-09-04 | Port Vale | Rochdale | League Two | 2-3 |
| 2020-08-29 | Port Vale | Rochdale | Friendlies Clubs | 2-1 |
| 2017-04-04 | Rochdale | Port Vale | League One | 3-0 |
| 2016-08-16 | Port Vale | Rochdale | League One | 1-0 |
| 2016-04-23 | Port Vale | Rochdale | League One | 4-1 |
| 2015-11-28 | Rochdale | Port Vale | League One | 2-1 |
| 2015-04-06 | Rochdale | Port Vale | League One | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Port Vale vs Rochdale odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 57.0%, draw 24.6%, away 18.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.63 | 3.75 | 5.02 |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 3.80 | 5.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.62 | 3.80 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 1.67 | 3.75 | 4.90 |
| Betfair | 1.65 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.65 | 3.95 | 5.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.61 | 3.75 | 5.05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62 | 3.92 | 5.64 |
| SBO | 1.60 | 3.26 | 4.18 |
| William Hill | 1.65 | 3.60 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.62 ▼ -0.05
X
3.77 ▲ +0.07
2
5.04 ▲ +0.34
11 snapshots recorded, from .