Colchester
vs
Walsall
1 – 3 Full time
| 3′ | Declan Skura | ||
| 34′ | Elicha Ahui | ||
| 35′ | Jack Payne | ||
| 45′ | Leon ChiwomeJaden Williams | ||
| 68′ | Lewis Simper | ||
| 71′ | Taione Richard Evumena SodjeAndrew Dallas | ||
| 71′ | Lewis SimperCourtney Alphonso Clarke | ||
| 77′ | Paul Digby | ||
| 78′ | Jay WilliamsBen perry | ||
| 78′ | Oscar thornBradley ihionvein | ||
| 79′ | Aaron Pressley | ||
| 83′ | Mason·Hancock | ||
| 86′ | Kane Vincent-YoungKien Connelly | ||
| 90′ | Charlie CrewSven Sprangler | ||
| 90′ | Courtney Alphonso Clarke |
Match stats
| 21 | Shots | 17 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 9 |
| 46 | Possession % | 54 |
| 10 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Offsides | 2 |
| 6 | Saves | 5 |
| 270 | Accurate passes | 350 |
Colchester vs Walsall overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Colchester vs Walsall
| Probability | Colchester | Draw | Walsall |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.6% | 31.1% | 44.2% |
| Market | 36.6% | 27.1% | 36.3% |
| Final | 33.6% | 28.1% | 38.3% |
| Edge | -3.0% | +1.0% | +2.0% |
Why Walsall
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.28 vs 0.90.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Colchester and Walsall expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.18
Colchester and Walsall attack and defence ratings
Colchester
Walsall
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Colchester vs Walsall: result vs prediction
Colchester 1 – 3 Walsall
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Colchester vs Walsall markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Walsall | 38.3% | 2.61 | +2.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colchester | 33.6% |
| Draw | 28.1% | |
| Walsall | 38.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.1% |
| No | 55.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Walsall win | 20.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.3% | |
| Loss | 55.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 0-1 | 13.2% | |
| 0-0 | 12.6% |
Colchester vs Walsall stats
Colchester and Walsall recent form
| Colchester |
LDDLDD |
| Walsall |
LWDDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Colchester and Walsall going into this match
Colchester record
- They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
Walsall record
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
Colchester vs Walsall head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | Colchester | Walsall | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-15 | Walsall | Colchester | League Two | 0-2 |
| 2025-02-08 | Colchester | Walsall | League Two | 2-1 |
| 2024-09-28 | Walsall | Colchester | League Two | 4-0 |
| 2024-03-16 | Colchester | Walsall | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2023-09-02 | Walsall | Colchester | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2023-02-14 | Colchester | Walsall | League Two | 0-0 |
| 2022-09-13 | Walsall | Colchester | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2022-04-30 | Colchester | Walsall | League Two | 2-2 |
| 2021-12-11 | Walsall | Colchester | League Two | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Colchester vs Walsall odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 36.6%, draw 27.1%, away 36.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.52 | 3.34 | 2.56 |
| Bet365 | 2.60 | 3.60 | 2.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.55 | 3.50 | 2.60 |
| Betano | 2.55 | 3.35 | 2.62 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.50 | 2.55 |
| Dafabet | 2.60 | 3.55 | 2.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.52 | 3.34 | 2.56 |
| Pinnacle | 2.50 | 3.58 | 2.69 |
| SBO | 2.40 | 3.02 | 2.36 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .