Colchester
vs
Walsall
Garuda Lions Prediction: Walsall
0 – 1 Predicted score · 17% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.21 vs 0.67.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Colchester vs Walsall overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Colchester vs Walsall
| Probability | Colchester | Draw | Walsall |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 19.2% | 32.9% | 47.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 19.2% | 32.9% | 47.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Walsall
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.21 vs 0.67.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Colchester vs Walsall match preview
Colchester faces Walsall in a League Two clash, with the model indicating a 19% chance of a Colchester victory, a 33% chance of a draw, and a 48% chance for Walsall to win. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, predicted at 17%. Colchester's expected goals stand at 0.67, while Walsall's are higher at 1.21, reflecting their recent form where Colchester has recorded L-D-D-L-D-D, and Walsall has shown better results with W-D-D-D-W-D.
Historically, in their last two encounters, Colchester has secured 1 win and 1 draw against Walsall, who has yet to win. The model suggests a 29% probability for over 2.5 goals and a 35% chance for both teams to score, indicating a potentially low-scoring affair. The confidence grade for this prediction is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Colchester and Walsall expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.87
Colchester and Walsall attack and defence ratings
Colchester
Walsall
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Colchester vs Walsall markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Walsall | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colchester | 19.2% |
| Draw | 32.9% | |
| Walsall | 47.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 28.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 71.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 35.4% |
| No | 64.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 52.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 80.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Walsall win | 22.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.8% | |
| Loss | 52.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 17.3% |
| 0-0 | 16.6% | |
| 1-1 | 13.6% |
Colchester vs Walsall stats
Colchester and Walsall recent form
| Colchester |
LDDLDD |
| Walsall |
WDDDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Colchester and Walsall season so far
Colchester record
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
Walsall record
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
Colchester vs Walsall head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | Colchester | Walsall | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-15 | Walsall | Colchester | League Two | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.