Walsall
vs
Salford City
Garuda Lions Prediction: Salford City
0 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Salford City is the favourite, not a value bet.
Walsall vs Salford City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Walsall vs Salford City
| Probability | Walsall | Draw | Salford City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.8% | 32.3% | 27.9% |
| Market | 28.7% | 26.3% | 45.0% |
| Final | 31.5% | 27.8% | 40.8% |
| Edge | +2.8% | +1.5% | -4.3% |
Why Salford City
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.12, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -13.6% per unit staked (our 40.8% × 2.12 − 1).
Walsall vs Salford City match preview
Walsall faces Salford City in a League Two clash, with the probabilities indicating a competitive matchup. Walsall has a 29% chance of winning, while Salford City holds a 44% probability of victory, and a draw stands at 28%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 0-1 in favor of Salford City, with expected goals of 1.17 for Walsall and 0.94 for Salford City.
In terms of recent form, Walsall has recorded a mixed bag of results with two wins, three draws, and one loss in their last six matches. In contrast, Salford City is on a strong run, having won their last six games. The head-to-head record shows both teams with one win each in their last two encounters, contributing to a confidence grade of C for this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Walsall and Salford City expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.11
Walsall and Salford City attack and defence ratings
Walsall
Salford City
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Walsall vs Salford City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Salford City | 40.8% | 2.45 | -4.3% | 2.12 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.2% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Walsall | 31.5% |
| Draw | 27.8% | |
| Salford City | 40.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.3% |
| No | 56.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Salford City win | 10.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.6% | |
| Loss | 72.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.7% |
| 0-0 | 13.5% | |
| 1-0 | 12.9% |
Walsall vs Salford City stats
Walsall and Salford City recent form
| Walsall |
WDDDWD |
| Salford City |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Walsall and Salford City season so far
Walsall record
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
Salford City record
- They have won 8 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
Walsall vs Salford City head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | Salford City | Walsall | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Walsall | Salford City | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2025-02-01 | Walsall | Salford City | League Two | 2-2 |
| 2024-09-21 | Salford City | Walsall | League Two | 0-2 |
| 2024-04-01 | Walsall | Salford City | League Two | 2-1 |
| 2023-09-09 | Salford City | Walsall | League Two | 1-2 |
| 2023-04-22 | Walsall | Salford City | League Two | 2-3 |
| 2023-01-31 | Salford City | Walsall | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2022-03-26 | Salford City | Walsall | League Two | 2-1 |
| 2021-10-09 | Walsall | Salford City | League Two | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Walsall vs Salford City odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.8%, draw 26.2%, away 45.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.20 | 3.55 | 2.06 |
| Bet365 | 3.30 | 3.40 | 2.10 |
| BetVictor | 3.25 | 3.60 | 2.10 |
| Betano | 3.25 | 3.50 | 2.12 |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 3.75 | 2.05 |
| Dafabet | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.12 |
| Marathonbet | 3.18 | 3.55 | 2.04 |
| Pinnacle | 3.19 | 3.77 | 2.07 |
| SBO | 2.91 | 3.11 | 1.98 |
| William Hill | 3.20 | 3.40 | 2.05 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .