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League Two · Full time ·Matchday 13

Walsall vs Salford City

2 – 4 Full time

45′Macaulay Langstaff
54′Jorge Grant
58′Sven SpranglerCharlie Crew
58′Courtney Alphonso ClarkeLewis Simper
58′Aaron Pressley
60′Kelly N'MaiKallum Cesay
60′Jorge GrantNathan Asiimwe
66′Lewis Simper
67′Kallum Cesay
70′Isaac Moore
71′Taione Richard Evumena SodjeAndrew Dallas
71′Ryan LeakJames Furlong
73′Brendan Sarpeng-Wireduadebola oluwo
73′Abraham OdohMatt·Butcher
82′adebola oluwo
89′Macaulay LangstaffDaniel Udoh

Bescot Stadium, WalsallReferee: M. Coy

Walsall 32%
Draw 28%
Salford City 40%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 21
4 Shots on target 8
54 Possession % 46
6 Corners 6
15 Fouls 8
2 Offsides 1
4 Saves 2
337 Accurate passes 291

Walsall vs Salford City overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Walsall vs Salford City

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityWalsallDrawSalford City
Model39.8%32.3%27.9%
Market29.5%26.7%43.8%
Final32.1%28.1%39.8%
Edge+2.6%+1.4%-4.0%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Salford City

  • Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Walsall ↓ / Salford City → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 10% 1 13% 15% 2 8% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 64%
3+ goals 35%
No goals 13%

Walsall and Salford City expected goals

Walsall 1.17
Salford City 0.94

Total expected goals: 2.11

Walsall and Salford City attack and defence ratings

Walsall

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.65 -35%

Salford City

Attack 1.23 +23%
Defence 0.82 -18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Walsall vs Salford City: result vs prediction

Walsall 2 – 4 Salford City

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 13 fixtures

League Two

Before and after this match

Walsall vs Salford City markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Salford City 39.8% 2.51 -4.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 64.7% 1.55 — —
Both teams to score No 56.7% 1.76 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.9% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 72.1% 1.39 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Walsall32.1%
Draw28.1%
Salford City39.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.535.3%
Under 2.564.7%
Both teams to scoreYes43.3%
No56.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)60.2%
12 (either side)71.9%
X2 (draw or away)67.9%
Handicap -1Salford City win10.4%
Push (exactly one goal)17.6%
Loss72.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.7%
0-013.5%
1-012.9%

Walsall vs Salford City stats

Walsall and Salford City recent form

newest first
Walsall WDDDWD
Salford City WWWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Walsall and Salford City going into this match

league record before kick-off

Walsall record

  • They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.

Salford City record

  • They have won 8 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.

Walsall vs Salford City head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Walsall wins 1Draws 4Salford City wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-10Salford CityWalsallLeague Two1-0
2025-08-23WalsallSalford CityLeague Two1-0
2025-02-01WalsallSalford CityLeague Two2-2
2024-09-21Salford CityWalsallLeague Two0-2
2024-04-01WalsallSalford CityLeague Two2-1
2023-09-09Salford CityWalsallLeague Two1-2
2023-04-22WalsallSalford CityLeague Two2-3
2023-01-31Salford CityWalsallLeague Two1-0
2022-03-26Salford CityWalsallLeague Two2-1
2021-10-09WalsallSalford CityLeague Two2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Walsall vs Salford City odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 29.5%, draw 26.7%, away 43.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.20 3.55 2.06
Bet365 3.20 3.40 2.15
BetVictor 3.25 3.60 2.10
Betano 3.15 3.50 2.15
Betfair 3.20 3.50 2.15
Dafabet 3.20 3.60 2.18
Marathonbet 3.18 3.55 2.04
Pinnacle 3.14 3.68 2.18
SBO 2.87 3.15 2.15
William Hill 3.00 3.50 2.15

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.19 ▼ -0.53
X 3.52 ▼ -0.03
2 2.15 ▲ +0.25

12 snapshots recorded, from .