Chesterfield
vs
Crewe
5 – 1 Full time
| 3′ | Josh Koroma | ||
| 5′ | Josh KoromaDilan Markanday | ||
| 6′ | Tom Naylor | ||
| 19′ | F. Bryden | ||
| 35′ | Joshua Stephenson | ||
| 45′ | Liam Mandeville | ||
| 45′ | Joel TabinerCharlie McNeill | ||
| 45′ | Conor ThomasOwen lunt | ||
| 57′ | Charlie McNeill | ||
| 60′ | Tom PearceLewis Gordon | ||
| 60′ | F. BrydenLee Bonis | ||
| 63′ | Josh MarchAdrien thibaut | ||
| 63′ | Reece HutchinsonKyle Ure | ||
| 69′ | Lee Bell | ||
| 74′ | Matúš HolíčekJoe White | ||
| 77′ | Louie MarshKiano Dyer | ||
| 77′ | Tom NaylorRafiq Lamptey |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 3 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 65 | Possession % | 35 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Offsides | 3 |
| 1 | Saves | 1 |
| 514 | Accurate passes | 210 |
Chesterfield vs Crewe overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Chesterfield vs Crewe
| Probability | Chesterfield | Draw | Crewe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.7% | 29.1% | 32.2% |
| Market | 56.4% | 23.9% | 19.7% |
| Final | 52.0% | 25.2% | 22.8% |
| Edge | -4.4% | +1.3% | +3.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Chesterfield and Crewe expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.57
Chesterfield and Crewe attack and defence ratings
Chesterfield
Crewe
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Chesterfield vs Crewe: result vs prediction
Chesterfield 5 – 1 Crewe
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Chesterfield vs Crewe markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chesterfield | 52.0% | 1.92 | -4.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chesterfield | 52.0% |
| Draw | 25.2% | |
| Crewe | 22.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.3% |
| No | 46.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Chesterfield win | 18.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.4% | |
| Loss | 61.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.9% |
| 1-0 | 9.2% | |
| 0-0 | 9.0% |
Chesterfield vs Crewe stats
Chesterfield and Crewe recent form
| Chesterfield |
DLDWLW |
| Crewe |
LWWWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Chesterfield and Crewe going into this match
Chesterfield record
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
Crewe record
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Chesterfield vs Crewe head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Chesterfield | Crewe | League Two | 2-0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Crewe | Chesterfield | League Two | 3-3 |
| 2025-09-02 | Crewe | Chesterfield | EFL Trophy | 7-1 |
| 2025-03-01 | Chesterfield | Crewe | League Two | 1-3 |
| 2024-08-17 | Crewe | Chesterfield | League Two | 0-5 |
| 2017-12-26 | Chesterfield | Crewe | League Two | 0-2 |
| 2017-09-09 | Crewe | Chesterfield | League Two | 5-1 |
| 2016-11-08 | Crewe | Chesterfield | EFL Trophy | 0-2 |
| 2016-02-20 | Chesterfield | Crewe | League One | 3-1 |
| 2015-10-03 | Crewe | Chesterfield | League One | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Chesterfield vs Crewe odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 56.3%, draw 23.8%, away 19.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.66 | 3.92 | 4.54 |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| Betano | 1.67 | 3.85 | 4.65 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 4.00 | 4.75 |
| Dafabet | 1.68 | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.64 | 3.92 | 4.55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.66 | 4.19 | 4.79 |
| SBO | 1.55 | 3.57 | 4.18 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.90 | 4.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .