Chesterfield
vs
Colchester
1 – 1 Full time
| 29′ | Dilan Markanday | ||
| 34′ | Lewis Gordon | ||
| 36′ | Bradley ihionvein | ||
| 41′ | Danny Cowley | ||
| 54′ | Alfie Pond | ||
| 58′ | Robert Donald Hunt | ||
| 68′ | Dilan MarkandayDylan Duffy | ||
| 68′ | Louie MarshTom Naylor | ||
| 69′ | Josh KoromaLiam Mandeville | ||
| 69′ | George McEachranKiano Dyer | ||
| 75′ | Jaden WilliamsOscar thorn | ||
| 75′ | Kane Vincent-YoungSamuel Kuffour Jr. | ||
| 76′ | Robert Donald HuntBen perry | ||
| 79′ | Ryan Stirk | ||
| 80′ | Paul DigbyKien Connelly | ||
| 82′ | Ben perry | ||
| 84′ | Lee BonisF. Bryden | ||
| 88′ | Bradley ihionveinLeon Chiwome |
Match stats
| 19 | Shots | 6 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 62 | Possession % | 38 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Offsides | 3 |
| 0 | Saves | 1 |
| 502 | Accurate passes | 278 |
Chesterfield vs Colchester overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Chesterfield vs Colchester
| Probability | Chesterfield | Draw | Colchester |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.6% | 28.6% | 22.9% |
| Market | 59.2% | 22.3% | 18.5% |
| Final | 56.5% | 23.9% | 19.6% |
| Edge | -2.7% | +1.6% | +1.1% |
Why Chesterfield
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.50 vs 0.95.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Chesterfield and Colchester expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.45
Chesterfield and Colchester attack and defence ratings
Chesterfield
Colchester
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Chesterfield vs Colchester: result vs prediction
Chesterfield 1 – 1 Colchester
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Chesterfield vs Colchester markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chesterfield | 56.5% | 1.77 | -2.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.4% | 1.94 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chesterfield | 56.5% |
| Draw | 23.9% | |
| Colchester | 19.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.0% |
| No | 51.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Chesterfield win | 25.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.4% | |
| Loss | 51.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 1-0 | 11.7% | |
| 0-0 | 9.9% |
Chesterfield vs Colchester stats
Chesterfield and Colchester recent form
| Chesterfield |
LDWLWW |
| Colchester |
DLDDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Chesterfield and Colchester going into this match
Chesterfield record
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
Colchester record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Chesterfield vs Colchester head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-03 | Chesterfield | Colchester | League Two | 3-0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Colchester | Chesterfield | League Two | 6-2 |
| 2025-03-04 | Colchester | Chesterfield | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2024-10-22 | Chesterfield | Colchester | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2017-12-30 | Chesterfield | Colchester | League Two | 0-0 |
| 2017-09-12 | Colchester | Chesterfield | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2016-11-05 | Colchester | Chesterfield | FA Cup | 1-2 |
| 2016-02-16 | Colchester | Chesterfield | League One | 1-1 |
| 2015-09-12 | Chesterfield | Colchester | League One | 3-3 |
| 2015-04-14 | Chesterfield | Colchester | League One | 6-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Chesterfield vs Colchester odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.2%, draw 22.3%, away 18.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.58 | 4.15 | 4.86 |
| Bet365 | 1.55 | 4.00 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.55 | 4.20 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 1.57 | 4.10 | 5.20 |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 4.33 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.62 | 4.30 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.56 | 4.15 | 4.90 |
| Pinnacle | 1.55 | 4.45 | 5.53 |
| SBO | 1.54 | 3.77 | 4.76 |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 4.00 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .