Northampton
vs
Tranmere
0 – 1 Full time
| 37′ | B. Faulkner | ||
| 42′ | Ryan Watson | ||
| 70′ | Connor Lemonheigh-EvansElliott List | ||
| 70′ | M. WarhurstNathaniel Opoku | ||
| 70′ | josh powellJames Maxwell | ||
| 76′ | Janoi DonacienSam Hoskins | ||
| 90′ | Lee O'Connor |
Match stats
| 21 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 64 | Possession % | 36 |
| 9 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Saves | 4 |
| 398 | Accurate passes | 200 |
Northampton vs Tranmere overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Northampton vs Tranmere
| Probability | Northampton | Draw | Tranmere |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.0% | 32.0% | 32.0% |
| Market | 41.3% | 28.7% | 30.0% |
| Final | 40.0% | 29.5% | 30.5% |
| Edge | -1.3% | +0.8% | +0.5% |
Why Northampton
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Northampton and Tranmere expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.18
Northampton and Tranmere attack and defence ratings
Northampton
Tranmere
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Northampton vs Tranmere: result vs prediction
Northampton 0 – 1 Tranmere
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Northampton vs Tranmere markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Northampton | 40.0% | 2.50 | -1.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.8% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Northampton | 40.0% |
| Draw | 29.5% | |
| Tranmere | 30.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.2% |
| No | 54.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Northampton win | 15.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 64.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 12.7% | |
| 1-0 | 11.5% |
Northampton vs Tranmere stats
Northampton and Tranmere recent form
| Northampton |
WDLLWD |
| Tranmere |
LDLDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Northampton and Tranmere going into this match
Northampton record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Tranmere record
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Northampton vs Tranmere head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-05-08 | Tranmere | Northampton | League Two | 0-1 |
| 2022-12-03 | Northampton | Tranmere | League Two | 0-0 |
| 2022-03-05 | Northampton | Tranmere | League Two | 3-2 |
| 2021-10-23 | Tranmere | Northampton | League Two | 0-2 |
| 2019-02-05 | Tranmere | Northampton | League Two | 1-2 |
| 2018-09-01 | Northampton | Tranmere | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2015-03-14 | Northampton | Tranmere | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2014-12-28 | Tranmere | Northampton | League Two | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Northampton vs Tranmere odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.3%, draw 28.7%, away 30.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.23 | 3.22 | 3.12 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 2.27 | 3.20 | 3.15 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.33 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.21 | 3.22 | 3.10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.28 | 3.29 | 3.27 |
| SBO | 2.14 | 3.04 | 2.98 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.10 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .