Rochdale
vs
Grimsby
2 – 2 Full time
| 6′ | Charles Vernam | ||
| 20′ | Babajide Ezekiel Adeeko | ||
| 38′ | Dajaune Brown | ||
| 42′ | Maldini Kacurri | ||
| 45′ | Olutobi Adebayo-RowlingK. Taylor | ||
| 49′ | Edward Francis | ||
| 50′ | Jamie Walker | ||
| 57′ | Kieran Green | ||
| 65′ | Babajide Ezekiel Adeekosam beckwith | ||
| 67′ | Cian Hayes | ||
| 68′ | Ian Watson | ||
| 72′ | Jamie Walker | ||
| 75′ | Cian HayesLuke Hannant | ||
| 76′ | Justin Ikechukwu Obiora AmaluzorSonny Finch | ||
| 76′ | Jamie WalkerCian Doyle | ||
| 81′ | K. TaylorIan Henderson | ||
| 88′ | Ian Henderson | ||
| 89′ | Iwan MorganFinn Cartwright |
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 24 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 53 | Possession % | 47 |
| 7 | Corners | 10 |
| 13 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 4 | Saves | 3 |
| 256 | Accurate passes | 209 |
Rochdale vs Grimsby overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rochdale vs Grimsby
| Probability | Rochdale | Draw | Grimsby |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.6% | 28.0% | 27.5% |
| Market | 29.5% | 26.7% | 43.7% |
| Final | 33.3% | 27.0% | 39.7% |
| Edge | +3.8% | +0.3% | -4.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Rochdale and Grimsby expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.66
Rochdale and Grimsby attack and defence ratings
Rochdale
Grimsby
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Rochdale vs Grimsby: result vs prediction
Rochdale 2 – 2 Grimsby
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Rochdale vs Grimsby markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Grimsby | 39.7% | 2.52 | -4.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rochdale | 33.3% |
| Draw | 27.0% | |
| Grimsby | 39.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.3% |
| No | 45.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Grimsby win | 11.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.1% | |
| Loss | 72.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.4% |
| 1-0 | 9.4% | |
| 2-1 | 9.2% |
Rochdale vs Grimsby stats
Rochdale and Grimsby recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Rochdale and Grimsby going into this match
Rochdale record
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Grimsby record
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
Rochdale vs Grimsby head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-19 | Rochdale | Grimsby | Friendlies Clubs | 2-0 |
| 2023-03-11 | Grimsby | Rochdale | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2022-08-13 | Rochdale | Grimsby | League Two | 0-1 |
| 2018-08-14 | Grimsby | Rochdale | League Cup | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Rochdale vs Grimsby odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 29.5%, draw 26.7%, away 43.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.20 | 3.52 | 2.07 |
| Bet365 | 3.20 | 3.50 | 2.10 |
| BetVictor | 3.13 | 3.60 | 2.15 |
| Betano | 3.15 | 3.45 | 2.15 |
| Betfair | 3.20 | 3.60 | 2.15 |
| Dafabet | 3.20 | 3.55 | 2.20 |
| Marathonbet | 3.18 | 3.52 | 2.05 |
| Pinnacle | 3.19 | 3.69 | 2.15 |
| SBO | 2.86 | 3.13 | 2.16 |
| William Hill | 2.75 | 3.50 | 2.15 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .