Walsall
vs
Oldham
3 – 0 Full time
| 9′ | Taione Richard Evumena Sodje | ||
| 20′ | Charlie Crew | ||
| 21′ | Taione Richard Evumena Sodje | ||
| 26′ | Aaron Pressley | ||
| 32′ | Lewis Simper | ||
| 40′ | Jamie Robson | ||
| 51′ | Tom PettMike·Fondop-Talum | ||
| 58′ | Matthew Hudson | ||
| 58′ | Aaron Pressley | ||
| 61′ | Elicha Ahui | ||
| 62′ | Favour fawunmi | ||
| 63′ | Courtney Alphonso ClarkeRyan Leak | ||
| 63′ | Charlie CrewSven Sprangler | ||
| 68′ | James FurlongMason·Hancock | ||
| 68′ | Aaron PressleyReece Smith | ||
| 70′ | Donervorn DanielsGus Scott-Morriss | ||
| 79′ | Taione Richard Evumena SodjeAndrew Dallas |
Match stats
| 22 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 21 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 5 | Saves | 2 |
| 294 | Accurate passes | 246 |
Walsall vs Oldham overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Walsall vs Oldham
| Probability | Walsall | Draw | Oldham |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.1% | 28.8% | 21.1% |
| Market | 39.0% | 27.5% | 33.5% |
| Final | 41.7% | 27.9% | 30.4% |
| Edge | +2.8% | +0.3% | -3.1% |
Why Walsall
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.48 vs 0.88.
- The market prices Walsall below our published probability: +2.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Walsall and Oldham expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.36
Walsall and Oldham attack and defence ratings
Walsall
Oldham
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Walsall vs Oldham: result vs prediction
Walsall 3 – 0 Oldham
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Walsall vs Oldham markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Walsall | 41.7% | 2.40 | +2.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Walsall | 41.7% |
| Draw | 27.9% | |
| Oldham | 30.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.3% |
| No | 53.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Walsall win | 26.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.1% | |
| Loss | 49.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 1-0 | 12.8% | |
| 0-0 | 10.7% |
Walsall vs Oldham stats
Walsall and Oldham recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Walsall and Oldham going into this match
Walsall record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Oldham record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
Walsall vs Oldham head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | Walsall | Oldham | League Two | 1-2 |
| 2025-12-10 | Oldham | Walsall | League Two | 0-1 |
| 2022-03-15 | Walsall | Oldham | League Two | 2-1 |
| 2021-10-19 | Oldham | Walsall | League Two | 1-3 |
| 2021-01-16 | Walsall | Oldham | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2020-12-15 | Oldham | Walsall | League Two | 2-3 |
| 2019-10-22 | Oldham | Walsall | League Two | 2-0 |
| 2018-04-11 | Oldham | Walsall | League One | 1-1 |
| 2017-08-12 | Walsall | Oldham | League One | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Walsall vs Oldham odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 39.0%, draw 27.5%, away 33.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.35 | 3.38 | 2.79 |
| Bet365 | 2.40 | 3.30 | 2.75 |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.75 |
| Betano | 2.42 | 3.35 | 2.80 |
| Betfair | 2.38 | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.44 | 3.50 | 2.85 |
| Marathonbet | 2.33 | 3.38 | 2.77 |
| Pinnacle | 2.42 | 3.56 | 2.82 |
| SBO | 2.36 | 3.12 | 2.58 |
| William Hill | 2.38 | 3.25 | 2.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .