League Two · Full time ·Matchday 12

Walsall vs Oldham

3 – 0 Full time

9′Taione Richard Evumena Sodje
20′Charlie Crew
21′Taione Richard Evumena Sodje
26′Aaron Pressley
32′Lewis Simper
40′Jamie Robson
51′Tom PettMike·Fondop-Talum
58′Matthew Hudson
58′Aaron Pressley
61′Elicha Ahui
62′Favour fawunmi
63′Courtney Alphonso ClarkeRyan Leak
63′Charlie CrewSven Sprangler
68′James FurlongMason·Hancock
68′Aaron PressleyReece Smith
70′Donervorn DanielsGus Scott-Morriss
79′Taione Richard Evumena SodjeAndrew Dallas

Bescot Stadium, WalsallReferee: A. Dale

Walsall 42%
Draw 28%
Oldham 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

22 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 5
54 Possession % 46
8 Corners 1
13 Fouls 21
0 Offsides 1
5 Saves 2
294 Accurate passes 246

Walsall vs Oldham overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Walsall vs Oldham

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityWalsallDrawOldham
Model50.1%28.8%21.1%
Market39.0%27.5%33.5%
Final41.7%27.9%30.4%
Edge+2.8%+0.3%-3.1%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Walsall

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.48 vs 0.88.
  • The market prices Walsall below our published probability: +2.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Walsall ↓ / Oldham → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 7% 1 13% 14% 2 10% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 42%
No goals 11%

Walsall and Oldham expected goals

Walsall 1.48
Oldham 0.88

Total expected goals: 2.36

Walsall and Oldham attack and defence ratings

Walsall

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 0.72 -28%

Oldham

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 1.16 +16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Walsall vs Oldham: result vs prediction

Walsall 3 – 0 Oldham

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

League Two

Before and after this match

Walsall vs Oldham markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Walsall 41.7% 2.40 +2.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 58.1% 1.72 — —
Both teams to score No 53.7% 1.86 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.1% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 49.9% 2.00 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Walsall41.7%
Draw27.9%
Oldham30.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.541.9%
Under 2.558.1%
Both teams to scoreYes46.3%
No53.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.6%
12 (either side)72.1%
X2 (draw or away)58.3%
Handicap -1Walsall win26.0%
Push (exactly one goal)24.1%
Loss49.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.5%
1-012.8%
0-010.7%

Walsall vs Oldham stats

Walsall and Oldham recent form

newest first
Walsall DDDWDD
Oldham WDLLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Walsall and Oldham going into this match

league record before kick-off

Walsall record

  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Oldham record

  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.

Walsall vs Oldham head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

5Walsall wins 2Draws 2Oldham wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-12-29WalsallOldhamLeague Two1-2
2025-12-10OldhamWalsallLeague Two0-1
2022-03-15WalsallOldhamLeague Two2-1
2021-10-19OldhamWalsallLeague Two1-3
2021-01-16WalsallOldhamLeague Two1-1
2020-12-15OldhamWalsallLeague Two2-3
2019-10-22OldhamWalsallLeague Two2-0
2018-04-11OldhamWalsallLeague One1-1
2017-08-12WalsallOldhamLeague One2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Walsall vs Oldham odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.0%, draw 27.5%, away 33.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.35 3.38 2.79
Bet365 2.40 3.30 2.75
BetVictor 2.45 3.40 2.75
Betano 2.42 3.35 2.80
Betfair 2.38 3.60 2.80
Dafabet 2.44 3.50 2.85
Marathonbet 2.33 3.38 2.77
Pinnacle 2.42 3.56 2.82
SBO 2.36 3.12 2.58
William Hill 2.38 3.25 2.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.39 ▲ +0.06
X 3.38 ▼ -0.03
2 2.78 ▲ +0.03

6 snapshots recorded, from .