Walsall
vs
Oldham
Garuda Lions Prediction: Walsall
1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
Walsall vs Oldham overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Walsall vs Oldham
| Probability | Walsall | Draw | Oldham |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.1% | 28.8% | 21.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 50.1% | 28.8% | 21.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Walsall
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.48 vs 0.88.
Walsall vs Oldham match preview
Walsall is set to face Oldham in their upcoming League Two match, with a probability of 55% for a Walsall victory according to our model. The expected goals suggest Walsall will score around 1.51, while Oldham is projected to net approximately 0.71. The most likely scoreline is a narrow 1-0 in favor of Walsall, occurring with a 15% likelihood.
In terms of recent form, Walsall has recorded a series of draws and one win, while Oldham has struggled, with four consecutive losses followed by a draw. The head-to-head record from the last two encounters shows Walsall with one win and Oldham with one win, indicating a competitive matchup. The probability of both teams scoring is at 41%, and there's a 38% chance for over 2.5 goals in the match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Walsall and Oldham expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.36
Walsall and Oldham attack and defence ratings
Walsall
Oldham
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Walsall vs Oldham markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Walsall | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Walsall | 50.1% |
| Draw | 28.8% | |
| Oldham | 21.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.3% |
| No | 53.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Walsall win | 26.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.1% | |
| Loss | 49.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 1-0 | 12.8% | |
| 0-0 | 10.7% |
Walsall vs Oldham stats
Walsall and Oldham recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Walsall and Oldham season so far
Walsall record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Oldham record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Walsall vs Oldham head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | Walsall | Oldham | League Two | 1-2 |
| 2025-12-10 | Oldham | Walsall | League Two | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.