Barnet
vs
Oldham
1 – 1 Full time
| 20′ | Kabongo Tshimanga | ||
| 45′ | Damola AjayiTom Knowles | ||
| 45′ | Keenan Appiah-ForsonKane drummond | ||
| 62′ | Jake ReevesIsiah Noel Williams | ||
| 62′ | Charlie LakinNnamdi Ofoborh | ||
| 66′ | Isiah Noel Williams | ||
| 70′ | Isiah Noel Williams | ||
| 82′ | Favour fawunmiJosh Hawkes | ||
| 86′ | Mike·Fondop-Talum | ||
| 89′ | Tom KnowlesNikola Tavares | ||
| 89′ | Idris KanuBrandon Comley | ||
| 90′ | Kai PayneNoah Chilvers | ||
| 90′ | Mike·Fondop-Talum |
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 17 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 47 | Possession % | 53 |
| 11 | Corners | 7 |
| 8 | Fouls | 8 |
| 4 | Offsides | 3 |
| 3 | Saves | 1 |
| 183 | Accurate passes | 206 |
Barnet vs Oldham overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Barnet vs Oldham
| Probability | Barnet | Draw | Oldham |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 68.1% | 17.3% | 14.6% |
| Market | 54.4% | 24.0% | 21.6% |
| Final | 57.8% | 22.3% | 19.9% |
| Edge | +3.4% | -1.7% | -1.7% |
Why Barnet
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.78 vs 1.28.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Barnet below our published probability: +3.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Barnet and Oldham expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.06
Barnet and Oldham attack and defence ratings
Barnet
Oldham
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Barnet vs Oldham: result vs prediction
Barnet 1 – 1 Oldham
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Barnet vs Oldham markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Barnet | 57.8% | 1.73 | +3.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Barnet win | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Barnet | 57.8% |
| Draw | 22.3% | |
| Oldham | 19.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 23.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.3% |
| No | 31.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Barnet win | 48.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 31.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.6% |
| 3-1 | 7.9% | |
| 1-1 | 6.8% |
Barnet vs Oldham stats
Barnet and Oldham recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Barnet and Oldham going into this match
Barnet record
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Oldham record
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
Barnet vs Oldham head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Barnet | Oldham | League Two | 3-2 |
| 2025-09-27 | Oldham | Barnet | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-01 | Oldham | Barnet | National League | 0-3 |
| 2024-11-09 | Barnet | Oldham | National League | 0-0 |
| 2024-01-23 | Oldham | Barnet | National League | 2-0 |
| 2023-11-22 | Barnet | Oldham | National League | 1-4 |
| 2023-02-28 | Barnet | Oldham | National League | 1-3 |
| 2022-11-12 | Oldham | Barnet | National League | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Barnet vs Oldham odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.3%, draw 24.1%, away 21.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.72 | 3.78 | 4.30 |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 3.90 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 4.00 | 4.50 |
| Betano | 1.72 | 3.95 | 4.20 |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 4.10 | 4.33 |
| Dafabet | 1.75 | 3.95 | 4.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.70 | 3.78 | 4.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.71 | 3.88 | 4.78 |
| SBO | 1.76 | 3.24 | 3.44 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.60 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .