Barnet
vs
York
3 – 1 Full time
| 11′ | Dean Brennan | ||
| 14′ | Ollie BanksArthur Read | ||
| 29′ | Alex Hunt | ||
| 37′ | Arthur Read | ||
| 39′ | Kabongo Tshimanga | ||
| 45′ | Hiram Boateng | ||
| 46′ | J Maskell | ||
| 49′ | Idris Kanu | ||
| 52′ | Hiram Boateng | ||
| 56′ | Idris KanuNnamdi Ofoborh | ||
| 56′ | J MaskellTom Knowles | ||
| 57′ | Joey GreyJ. Stones | ||
| 57′ | Ryan FallowfieldMorgan·Williams | ||
| 62′ | Ollie Pearce | ||
| 63′ | Brandon ComleyJake Reeves | ||
| 64′ | Adam SeniorKane Smith | ||
| 68′ | Scott Lindsey | ||
| 71′ | Ollie PearceFrankie Maguire | ||
| 71′ | Joseph Rabole FelixJeff King | ||
| 77′ | Jeff King | ||
| 80′ | Jake Reeves | ||
| 83′ | Jake Reeves | ||
| 83′ | Kabongo TshimangaDamola Ajayi | ||
| 87′ | A. McNally | ||
| 87′ | Damola Ajayi | ||
| 90′ | Mark Kitching | ||
| 90′ | Morgan·Williams | ||
| 90′ | Scott Lindsey |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 60 | Possession % | 40 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 11 |
| 5 | Offsides | 4 |
| 1 | Saves | 4 |
| 286 | Accurate passes | 148 |
Barnet vs York overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Barnet vs York
| Probability | Barnet | Draw | York |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.3% | 24.6% | 33.0% |
| Market | 45.8% | 24.9% | 29.3% |
| Final | 44.9% | 24.8% | 30.3% |
| Edge | -0.9% | -0.1% | +0.9% |
Why Barnet
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Barnet and York expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.35
Barnet and York attack and defence ratings
Barnet
York
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Barnet vs York: result vs prediction
Barnet 3 – 1 York
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Barnet vs York markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Barnet | 44.9% | 2.23 | -0.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Barnet | 44.9% |
| Draw | 24.8% | |
| York | 30.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.8% |
| No | 33.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Barnet win | 23.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.2% | |
| Loss | 57.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.8% |
| 2-1 | 8.8% | |
| 1-2 | 7.7% |
Barnet vs York stats
Barnet and York recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Barnet and York going into this match
Barnet record
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
York record
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Barnet vs York head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-18 | Barnet | York | National League | 3-1 |
| 2024-10-22 | York | Barnet | National League | 3-1 |
| 2024-02-24 | Barnet | York | National League | 2-0 |
| 2023-09-26 | York | Barnet | National League | 2-4 |
| 2023-04-03 | York | Barnet | National League | 1-0 |
| 2022-10-01 | Barnet | York | National League | 0-5 |
| 2016-03-12 | York | Barnet | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2015-10-17 | Barnet | York | League Two | 3-1 |
| 2013-02-16 | York | Barnet | League Two | 1-2 |
| 2012-08-25 | Barnet | York | League Two | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Barnet vs York odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.8%, draw 24.9%, away 29.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.98 | 3.82 | 3.20 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.70 | 3.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 2.12 | 3.65 | 3.05 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.90 | 3.20 |
| Dafabet | 2.13 | 3.75 | 3.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.96 | 3.82 | 3.18 |
| Pinnacle | 2.06 | 3.87 | 3.28 |
| SBO | 1.90 | 3.47 | 2.99 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .