York
vs
Port Vale
2 – 0 Full time
| 54′ | Zak Johnson | ||
| 61′ | Alex Hunt | ||
| 63′ | Jack HuntJoseph Rabole Felix | ||
| 63′ | Frankie MaguireAlex Newby | ||
| 67′ | Oliver LynchMax Watters | ||
| 67′ | Jordan GabrielOnel Hernández | ||
| 67′ | Rhys WaltersGeorge Cardinal Joseph·Hall | ||
| 69′ | Keyrol Alexis Figueroa NoralesMaleace asamoah | ||
| 71′ | Alex HuntHiram Boateng | ||
| 80′ | Ollie BanksJ. Stones | ||
| 84′ | Kyle Dempsey |
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 48 | Possession % | 52 |
| 2 | Corners | 8 |
| 13 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Offsides | 4 |
| 5 | Saves | 2 |
| 324 | Accurate passes | 355 |
York vs Port Vale overview
Garuda Lions analysis: York vs Port Vale
| Probability | York | Draw | Port Vale |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.3% | 29.3% | 17.4% |
| Market | 46.9% | 27.0% | 26.1% |
| Final | 48.5% | 27.6% | 23.9% |
| Edge | +1.6% | +0.6% | -2.2% |
Why York
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.45 vs 0.72.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
York and Port Vale expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.17
York and Port Vale attack and defence ratings
York
Port Vale
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
York vs Port Vale: result vs prediction
York 2 – 0 Port Vale
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
York vs Port Vale markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | York | 48.5% | 2.06 | +1.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.6% | 2.15 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | York | 48.5% |
| Draw | 27.6% | |
| Port Vale | 23.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.4% |
| No | 59.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | York win | 27.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.7% | |
| Loss | 46.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.4% |
| 1-1 | 13.1% | |
| 0-0 | 12.7% |
York vs Port Vale stats
York and Port Vale recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
York and Port Vale going into this match
York record
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Port Vale record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
York vs Port Vale head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013-03-16 | York | Port Vale | League Two | 0-2 |
| 2012-11-17 | Port Vale | York | League Two | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
York vs Port Vale odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.1%, draw 26.8%, away 26.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.96 | 3.48 | 3.54 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.75 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 2.02 | 3.45 | 3.50 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.70 |
| Dafabet | 2.02 | 3.60 | 3.65 |
| Marathonbet | 1.94 | 3.48 | 3.52 |
| Pinnacle | 2.00 | 3.59 | 3.67 |
| SBO | 1.96 | 3.01 | 3.06 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .